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To Share or Not to Share: Politics of Cooperation Between Riparian States
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To Share or Not to Share: Politics of Cooperation Between Riparian States
Jaroslav Tir
328 Candler Hall
Department of International Affairs
University of Georgia
Athens, GA 30605
## email not listed ##
and
Lt. Col. John T. Ackerman, USAF
Department of Political Science
The University of Alabama
Box 870213
Tuscaloosa, AL 35487
## email not listed ##
March 4, 2004
Abstract: While much of the international relations literature has focused on the conflict-generating potential of river use disputes, we focus on the politics of cooperation. Our theoretical framework investigates the demand, catalytic, and inhibiting influences on whether the riparian countries will enter into
general and water supply river-managing treaties.
Empirical results for the 1900-93 time period reveal that economic development (a demand factor), democracy, and common IGO memberships (catalysts) increase the chances for a treaty, while the lack of common security interests and balanced power configurations act as inhibiting factors. The demand and catalyst variables exercise substantially more influence, giving support to the rarely examined argument that factors associated with Kantian peace not only help states avoid militarized confrontations but also help foster positive peace. In the water supply context, however, the power dynamics given by the up/downstream river pattern cripple the possibility for the treaty. Our findings indicate that optimistic predictions expecting a rise in Third World river cooperation are largely unwarranted. ***Please address all correspondence to the first author. Prepared for presentation at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, March 17-21, 2004.
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| | Authors: Tir, Jaroslav. and Ackerman, Lt. Col. John. |
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To Share or Not to Share: Politics of Cooperation Between Riparian States
Jaroslav Tir
328 Candler Hall
Department of International Affairs
University of Georgia
Athens, GA 30605
## email not listed ##
and
Lt. Col. John T. Ackerman, USAF
Department of Political Science
The University of Alabama
Box 870213
Tuscaloosa, AL 35487
## email not listed ##
March 4, 2004
Abstract: While much of the international relations literature has focused on the conflict-
generating potential of river use disputes, we focus on the politics of cooperation. Our
theoretical framework investigates the demand, catalytic, and inhibiting influences on whether
the riparian countries will enter into
general and water supply river-managing treaties.
Empirical results for the 1900-93 time period reveal that economic development (a demand
factor), democracy, and common IGO memberships (catalysts) increase the chances for a treaty,
while the lack of common security interests and balanced power configurations act as inhibiting
factors. The demand and catalyst variables exercise substantially more influence, giving support
to the rarely examined argument that factors associated with Kantian peace not only help states
avoid militarized confrontations but also help foster positive peace. In the water supply context,
however, the power dynamics given by the up/downstream river pattern cripple the possibility
for the treaty. Our findings indicate that optimistic predictions expecting a rise in Third World
river cooperation are largely unwarranted.
***Please address all correspondence to the first author.
Prepared for presentation at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association,
Montreal, Quebec, Canada, March 17-21, 2004.
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