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Regional Trade Agreements and Africa’s Civil Wars: The Nexus Between Regional Economic Institutions and African Conflict Resolution
| | Unformatted Document Text:
Regional Trade Agreements and Africa’s Civil Wars:
The Nexus Between Regional Economic Institutions and African Conflict Resolution
Errol A. Henderson, Kathy Powers, and Simone Dietrich
Dept. of Political Science
Pennsylvania State University
## email not listed ##, PH: 814.865.4409
ABSTRACT: Liberal politico-economic theory maintains that trade linkages often facilitate a broader range of cooperation between states ultimately reducing the likelihood of conflict between trading partners. This relationship is assumed to be particularly acute in cases where trade linkages have become institutionalized within regional economic institutions (REIs); among the most prominent of these are regional trade agreements (RTAs). The view that trade linkages reduce conflict between states has recently been extended to include conflict within states, such as civil wars. Given that Africa, as a region, has more regional trade agreements (RTAs) than any other region, while at the same time it is the most civil war prone region in the world, then Africa provides a useful—but often neglected—test case for the liberal thesis. In this study, we examine the extent to which an African state’s membership in RTAs is associated with the onset, involvement, intensity, and duration of civil wars; in this draft we limit our focus to an analysis of RTAs and civil war onset. Beyond academic concerns, the findings are important for policymakers given the widespread view that regionalization is an important factor in the provision of peace. We assess the validity of this argument for RTAs and civil war onset in Africa.
Word Count: 8529
(Draft) Presented to the International Studies Association, March 2006, San Diego, CA.
Comments are welcome.
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Regional Trade Agreements and Africa’s Civil Wars:
The Nexus Between Regional Economic Institutions and African Conflict Resolution
Errol A. Henderson, Kathy Powers, and Simone Dietrich
Dept. of Political Science
Pennsylvania State University
## email not listed ##, PH: 814.865.4409
ABSTRACT: Liberal politico-economic theory maintains that trade linkages often facilitate a
broader range of cooperation between states ultimately reducing the likelihood of conflict
between trading partners. This relationship is assumed to be particularly acute in cases
where trade linkages have become institutionalized within regional economic institutions
(REIs); among the most prominent of these are regional trade agreements (RTAs). The
view that trade linkages reduce conflict between states has recently been extended to
include conflict within states, such as civil wars. Given that Africa, as a region, has more
regional trade agreements (RTAs) than any other region, while at the same time it is the
most civil war prone region in the world, then Africa provides a useful—but often neglected
—test case for the liberal thesis. In this study, we examine the extent to which an African
state’s membership in RTAs is associated with the onset, involvement, intensity, and
duration of civil wars; in this draft we limit our focus to an analysis of RTAs and civil war
onset. Beyond academic concerns, the findings are important for policymakers given the
widespread view that regionalization is an important factor in the provision of peace. We
assess the validity of this argument for RTAs and civil war onset in Africa.
Word Count: 8529
(Draft) Presented to the International Studies Association, March 2006, San Diego, CA.
Comments are welcome.
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