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The Inevitability of a Nuclear Tomorrow: Iran, North Korea and the Rational Desire for Nuclear Weapons
Unformatted Document Text:  deterrence, we cannot be surprised, given their security environment that they have chosen as they have. Their choice, like NATO’s refusal to endorse a “no first use” policy regarding nuclear weapons during the Cold War, reflects the reality that nuclear weapons are not, as we wish they were, unthinkable. The key to the future is not to pretend that proliferation will not happen, but to develop techniques to manage the fact that it has already happened. Resources squandered in the fool’s errand of convincing Iran and North Korea to give up what other nuclear powers never will cannot be recovered and could be better used in planning for our more uncertain and more scary future. 16

Authors: Roth, Ariel.
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deterrence, we cannot be surprised, given their security environment that they
have chosen as they have. Their choice, like NATO’s refusal to endorse a “no
first use” policy regarding nuclear weapons during the Cold War, reflects the
reality that nuclear weapons are not, as we wish they were, unthinkable.
The key to the future is not to pretend that proliferation will not happen, but
to develop techniques to manage the fact that it has already happened.
Resources squandered in the fool’s errand of convincing Iran and North Korea to
give up what other nuclear powers never will cannot be recovered and could be
better used in planning for our more uncertain and more scary future.
16


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