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Whither the Internationalist Coalition in American foreign Policy? The Domestic Politics of International Trade and Foreign Aid Policy, 1980-2006
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| | Unformatted Document Text:
Explaining the Internationalist Coalition in American Foreign Economic
Policy: Theories of Legislative Coalitions in Trade and Aid Policy
By
Helen V. Milner and Dustin H. Tingley
Helen V. Milner
B. C. Forbes Professor of Politics and International Affairs, Princeton University
## email not listed ##
Dustin H. Tingley
1
PhD Student, Politics Department, Princeton University
## email not listed ##
Robertson Hall, Princeton University, Princeton NJ, 08544
Abstract
Since 1945, American foreign economic policy has been oriented toward engagement with the international system. Given the changes in world politics and economics as well as American domestic politics over the past twenty years, many scholars have wondered whether American foreign economic policy might change. What groups have supported this internationalist policy since the late 1970s, and has this coalition changed over this period? We examine legislative voting in the US House of Representatives from the 96
th
to the 108
th
Congress (1979-2004) on trade and aid issues. Beyond describing this
coalition, we use theory to develop testable hypotheses about sources of support and opposition for aid and trade. We then test these hypotheses rigorously. We show that a bipartisan coalition has persisted supporting trade and aid; Stolper-Samuelson models best explain this. But these two coalitions differ in important ways. Most interestingly, labor and liberal Democrats remain part of the coalition supporting aid, while they no longer do on trade.
1
Corresponding author. We would like to thank Chris Xu, Zachary Squire, Ozge Kemahlioglu
and Qiang Zhou for research assistance, Raymond Hicks for excellent data assistance, Joshua Clinton and Kris Ramsay for helpful discussions, and seminar members at the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics, Princeton University, and the 2007 Midwest Political Science Association Annual meeting. This work builds off of a separate paper, “The Domestic Politics of Foreign Aid: American Legislators and the Internationalist Coalition”. This paper has been prepared for presentation at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association.
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| | Authors: Milner, Helen. and Tingley, Dustin. |
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Explaining the Internationalist Coalition in American Foreign Economic
Policy: Theories of Legislative Coalitions in Trade and Aid Policy
By
Helen V. Milner and Dustin H. Tingley
Helen V. Milner
B. C. Forbes Professor of Politics and International Affairs, Princeton University
## email not listed ##
Dustin H. Tingley
PhD Student, Politics Department, Princeton University
Robertson Hall, Princeton University, Princeton NJ, 08544
Abstract
Since 1945, American foreign economic policy has been oriented toward engagement
with the international system. Given the changes in world politics and economics as well
as American domestic politics over the past twenty years, many scholars have wondered
whether American foreign economic policy might change. What groups have supported
this internationalist policy since the late 1970s, and has this coalition changed over this
period? We examine legislative voting in the US House of Representatives from the 96
th
to the 108
th
Congress (1979-2004) on trade and aid issues. Beyond describing this
coalition, we use theory to develop testable hypotheses about sources of support and
opposition for aid and trade. We then test these hypotheses rigorously. We show that a
bipartisan coalition has persisted supporting trade and aid; Stolper-Samuelson models
best explain this. But these two coalitions differ in important ways. Most interestingly,
labor and liberal Democrats remain part of the coalition supporting aid, while they no
longer do on trade.
1
Corresponding author. We would like to thank Chris Xu, Zachary Squire, Ozge Kemahlioglu
and Qiang Zhou for research assistance, Raymond Hicks for excellent data assistance, Joshua
Clinton and Kris Ramsay for helpful discussions, and seminar members at the Center for the
Study of Democratic Politics, Princeton University, and the 2007 Midwest Political Science
Association Annual meeting. This work builds off of a separate paper, “The Domestic Politics of
Foreign Aid: American Legislators and the Internationalist Coalition”. This paper has been
prepared for presentation at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science
Association.
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