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21st Century Industrialization and Development in the Global South: The Chinese Case in Comparative-Historical Perspective
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Classic development theory and its contemporary counterparts rely on industrialization as the main driver of changes that produce wide increases in social well-being. In the original “industrializers,” manufacturing did indeed enable a broad swath of the population to gain a share of the dynamic productivity increases associated with machine-assisted production. Yet the evolution of the structure of employment in contemporary developing countries has been and will continue to be dramatically different. Using historical data on employment by sector in several developed and developing countries, this paper examines the evolution of development trajectories over time. In China, the 21st century analog to Britain’s 19th century "workshop of the world," manufacturing employment has declined in recent years and seems unlikely to ever absorb more than one-sixth of the workforce. This will have massive impacts on the development process in the Global South. Overall, in the absence of East Asian industrialization and the growing real per capital incomes associated with it, conventional ideas of development would seem doomed to extinction, both as theory and ideology. China and the East Asian tigers are, of course, key exceptions to the general disillusionment. They are consequently the principle “exhibits for the defense” offered by those hoping to rescue conventional development theory. How effective this defense will ultimately prove to be will depend on China’s future evolution.
Most Common Document Word Stems: manufactur (89), employ (81), china (67), develop (60), industri (48), increas (44), share (43), polit (41), servic (40), centuri (37), product (35), evan (33), agricultur (33), draft (33), figur (32), staveteig (31), preliminari (31), global (31), sector (26), state (25), data (25),

Author's Keywords: China, South Korea, United Kingdom, Brazil, Employment, Manufacturing, Services, Agriculture	Convention Convention is an application service for managing large or small academic conferences, annual meetings, and other types of events! Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! Click here for more information.
Association: Name: American Sociological Association URL: http://www.asanet.org
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p103461_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Evans, Peter. and Staveteig, Sarah. "21st Century Industrialization and Development in the Global South: The Chinese Case in Comparative-Historical Perspective" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Sociological Association, Montreal Convention Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Aug 11, 2006 Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2008-07-18 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p103461_index.html>

Evans, P. B. and Staveteig, S. E. (2006, Aug) "21st Century Industrialization and Development in the Global South: The Chinese Case in Comparative-Historical Perspective" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Sociological Association, Montreal Convention Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada Online <APPLICATION/PDF> Retrieved 2008-07-18 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p103461_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: Classic development theory and its contemporary counterparts rely on industrialization as the main driver of changes that produce wide increases in social well-being. In the original “industrializers,” manufacturing did indeed enable a broad swath of the population to gain a share of the dynamic productivity increases associated with machine-assisted production. Yet the evolution of the structure of employment in contemporary developing countries has been and will continue to be dramatically different. Using historical data on employment by sector in several developed and developing countries, this paper examines the evolution of development trajectories over time. In China, the 21st century analog to Britain’s 19th century "workshop of the world," manufacturing employment has declined in recent years and seems unlikely to ever absorb more than one-sixth of the workforce. This will have massive impacts on the development process in the Global South. Overall, in the absence of East Asian industrialization and the growing real per capital incomes associated with it, conventional ideas of development would seem doomed to extinction, both as theory and ideology. China and the East Asian tigers are, of course, key exceptions to the general disillusionment. They are consequently the principle “exhibits for the defense” offered by those hoping to rescue conventional development theory. How effective this defense will ultimately prove to be will depend on China’s future evolution.

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