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Association: Name: MPSA Annual National Conference URL: http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p268606_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Best, Robin. and Lem, Steve. "Electoral Volatility, Competition, and Third Party Candidacies in U.S. Gubernatorial Elections" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hotel, Hilton, Chicago, IL, Apr 03, 2008 <Not Available>. 2008-12-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p268606_index.html>

Best, R. E. and Lem, S. B. , 2008-04-03 "Electoral Volatility, Competition, and Third Party Candidacies in U.S. Gubernatorial Elections" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hotel, Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2008-12-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p268606_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: Given the low probability of electoral success, third party participation in U.S. elections is a puzzling phenomenon. We develop a general theory of third party candidacies based on the electoral context, focusing on electoral competition and volatility. When electoral competition is either low or high we expect the number of third party candidates to be high, due to the opportunities to raise attention to policy issues or affect the election outcome. Moderate levels of competition will produce low levels of third party candidate participation, as there are fewer prospects of drawing votes or attention. Electoral volatility is expected to have a positive effect on third party candidacies, since high volatility signals a de-aligned electorate. We evaluate our claims using data from 1980-2000 gubernatorial elections. The results of the analysis support our claims, suggesting that third party candidacies are shaped by the degree of electoral volatility and competition.

Identities of Competitive States in U.S. Presidential Elections: Electoral College Bias or Candidate-Centered Politics?

Move to the Center or Mobilize the Base? Effects of Political Competition, Voter Turnout, and Partisan Loyalties on the Ideological Convergence of Vote-Maximizing Candidates in Two-Party Competition