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Association: Name: APSA 2008 Annual Meeting URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Bowyer, Benjamin. "Electoral Rules and Support for the Extreme Right: A District-Level Sample Selection Model of Voting for Extreme Right Parties in Europe, 1980-2004" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the APSA 2008 Annual Meeting, Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2008 <Not Available>. 2008-12-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p280620_index.html>

Bowyer, B. T. , 2008-08-28 "Electoral Rules and Support for the Extreme Right: A District-Level Sample Selection Model of Voting for Extreme Right Parties in Europe, 1980-2004" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the APSA 2008 Annual Meeting, Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2008-12-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p280620_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: This paper examines the effects that a country’s electoral rules have on the electoral success of extreme right parties (ERPs) in Europe using a new dataset that includes election returns compiled at the electoral-district level for 18 European countries from 1980-2004 (N=12,050). Much of the extant research on the electoral success of extreme right parties suffers from at least two methodological problems. The first involves the selection of cases and occurs when only those national elections that were contested by ERPs are included in the cross-national analysis. The second major problem occurs in analyses that rely on aggregate-level statistics that conceal data censoring at a lower geographic level. The correct specification allows the causal factors that determine whether an extreme right party contests an election to differ from those that influence its share of the vote if it does appear on the ballot, and recognizes that ERPs’ decisions about when and where to field candidates are observable at the level of the election district. I argue that the appropriate way to model this process is as a Heckman sample selection model estimated at the electoral district level. The results of this model indicate that a country’s electoral system has a strong effect on the electoral success of ERPs: the likelihood an ERP will contest an electoral district and their expected vote share are both higher in countries with more proportional electoral systems. At the same time, this effect is conditioned on the stringency of a country’s ballot access requirements.

Effects of Ballot Access Requirements on Third Party Electoral Success

Electoral Support for Extreme Right-Wing Parties: A Sub-National Analysis of Western European Elections in the 1990s

Racial “Threat” and Voting for the Extreme Right: The Contextual Determinants of Support for the British National Party in the 2002 and 2003 English Local Elections