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The Political Economy of Climate Change Policy: Did States Defend Their Material Interests When Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol? |
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Abstract:
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This paper tests the proposition that material interests played a decisive role in shaping national preferences over the design of the Kyoto Protocol, the world’s first global CO2 emissions control regime. That states act to defend their material interests when negotiating international regimes has long been a bedrock assumption of international relations scholarship, and is also a widely held belief among analysts of climate politics. This paper investigates whether the preferences of national governments over a global climate treaty are correlated with measures of the material interests that may have been at stake. States should oppose a stringent climate treaty if their economic output is highly dependent on fossil fuel consumption; if the real and opportunity costs of curbing CO2 emissions are relatively low; and if their vulnerability to climate change related damages is relatively small. The empirical evidence offers only limited support for these hypotheses. At best, material interests favoring emissions abatement may be a necessary, but not sufficient, condition of support for a strong climate treaty. Case studies indicate that other determinants of state preferences may include ideational factors and the configuration of political institutions. |
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1 (155), climat (141), 0 (130), emiss (129), 2 (100), 3 (100), state (94), chang (76), prefer (64), 7 (63), 5 (60), 4 (57), fuel (56), countri (54), interest (53), fossil (52), treati (50), 9 (48), measur (47), iv (47), intern (46), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Bodnar, Paul. "The Political Economy of Climate Change Policy: Did States Defend Their Material Interests When Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL, Sep 02, 2004 <Not Available>. 2008-10-22 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p59951_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Bodnar, P. , 2004-09-02 "The Political Economy of Climate Change Policy: Did States Defend Their Material Interests When Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-22 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p59951_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: This paper tests the proposition that material interests played a decisive role in shaping national preferences over the design of the Kyoto Protocol, the world’s first global CO2 emissions control regime. That states act to defend their material interests when negotiating international regimes has long been a bedrock assumption of international relations scholarship, and is also a widely held belief among analysts of climate politics. This paper investigates whether the preferences of national governments over a global climate treaty are correlated with measures of the material interests that may have been at stake. States should oppose a stringent climate treaty if their economic output is highly dependent on fossil fuel consumption; if the real and opportunity costs of curbing CO2 emissions are relatively low; and if their vulnerability to climate change related damages is relatively small. The empirical evidence offers only limited support for these hypotheses. At best, material interests favoring emissions abatement may be a necessary, but not sufficient, condition of support for a strong climate treaty. Case studies indicate that other determinants of state preferences may include ideational factors and the configuration of political institutions. |
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| Document Type: |
.pdf |
| Page count: |
29 |
| Word count: |
11640 |
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| The Political Economy of Climate Change Policy Did States Defend Their Material Interests When Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol? Paul Bodnar Department of Government Harvard University August 2004 Prepared for delivery at the 2004 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association September 2 - September 5 2004. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. The Political Economy of Climate Change: Did States Defend Their Material Interests When Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol? Paul Bodnar Department of Government Harvard University Abstract |
| are affiliated with the Green Group of the European 43 Parliament. 27 In short national preferences over a climate treaty are clearly conditioned by more the rational calculus of material costs and benefits. They may shaped by firmly held--and differing--ideas about the relationship between human society and nature and the obligations of a nation to resolving problems in the global commons. Preferences can also be influenced by the configuration of political institutions. Whatever the theoretical framework of choice the |
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