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The Effects of State Campaign Finance Regulation on Turnout, Electoral Competition, and Partisan Advantage in Gubernatorial Elections, 1949-1998

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Abstract:

Battles over campaign finance regulations are often driven by beliefs about the likely consequences of reform on the electoral process. Will reform increase voter participation in the political process? Will one party be advantaged over another? In this paper, we study fifty years of gubernatorial elections in fifty states to assess the effects of key campaign finance regulations on turnout, competitiveness, and partisan advantage. This panel dataset harnesses the variation across states and over time to test whether and how reform matters. Among other things, we find that individual contribution limits have the opposite effect of organizational contribution limits, with the latter increasing turnout, increasing competitiveness, and hurting Democrats. Perhaps most surprisingly, public financing with voluntary spending limits tends to hurt Democrats.

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campaign (56), state (52), limit (48), elect (36), contribut (33), effect (32), financ (30), vote (25), turnout (23), margin (22), milyo (22), spend (21), regul (20), polit (20), democrat (20), groseclos (18), primo (16), 1998 (15), competit (15), variabl (15), candid (15),

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Keywords: campaign finance, state politics, electoral politics, money in politics, turnout, competitiveness
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Name: American Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Milyo, Jeff., Primo, David. and Groseclose, Tim. "The Effects of State Campaign Finance Regulation on Turnout, Electoral Competition, and Partisan Advantage in Gubernatorial Elections, 1949-1998" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2002 <Not Available>. 2008-10-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p65722_index.html>

APA Citation:

Milyo, J. , Primo, D. and Groseclose, T. , 2002-08-28 "The Effects of State Campaign Finance Regulation on Turnout, Electoral Competition, and Partisan Advantage in Gubernatorial Elections, 1949-1998" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p65722_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Battles over campaign finance regulations are often driven by beliefs about the likely consequences of reform on the electoral process. Will reform increase voter participation in the political process? Will one party be advantaged over another? In this paper, we study fifty years of gubernatorial elections in fifty states to assess the effects of key campaign finance regulations on turnout, competitiveness, and partisan advantage. This panel dataset harnesses the variation across states and over time to test whether and how reform matters. Among other things, we find that individual contribution limits have the opposite effect of organizational contribution limits, with the latter increasing turnout, increasing competitiveness, and hurting Democrats. Perhaps most surprisingly, public financing with voluntary spending limits tends to hurt Democrats.

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Associated Document Available American Political Science Association
Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 15
Word count: 3077
Text sample:
The Effects of State Campaign Finance Regulation on Turnout Electoral Competition and Partisan Advantage in Gubernatorial Elections 1949­1998 Jeff Milyo University of Chicago David Primo University of Rochester Tim Groseclose Stanford University August 2002 This is a preliminary and incomplete draft of work in progress; it has been prepared for presentation at the 2002 American Political Science Association meetings in Boston MA. Please send comments to jdmilyo@uchicago.edu Abstract Battles over campaign finance regulations are often driven by beliefs about
vote for Senate and\or President an indicator variable for the presence of a Senate election the number of state legislators up for election (per capita) the Democratic share of the state legislature and the majority party share of the state legislature. A2. Demographics and economic characteristics: voting age population percent over age 65 percent under 21 and eligible to vote percent black percent with high school\college education real per capita income and log of state general expenditures. A3. Other


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