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The Clinton Factor: The Effect of Clinton's Personal Image in 2000 Presidential Primaries and in the General Election |
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Abstract:
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The paper examines the effect of the Clinton Factor on candidate choice in both 2000 presidential primaries and the November general election. The Clinton Factor--negative personal feelings about President Clinton--is examined with Voter News Service exit polls for 11 Democratic primaries and with National Election Study data for the presidential election. The paper examines several predictors, including Clinton's job performance, candidate images, Clinton's image, party identification, ideology, and electability. The results suggest that Clinton's image had a significant effect on primary voters and on general-election voters in the battleground states. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
clinton (138), gore (136), primari (106), elect (101), voter (98), imag (77), candid (69), 2000 (68), bradley (68), vote (62), polit (61), factor (60), 2001 (57), parti (56), new (54), effect (51), perform (50), presid (46), presidenti (46), state (45), 1 (43), |
Author's Keywords:
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Keywords: candidate image, presidential primary, Clinton Factor, party identification, ideology, electability, candidate choice, presidential election |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association
URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Wattier, Mark. "The Clinton Factor: The Effect of Clinton's Personal Image in 2000 Presidential Primaries and in the General Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2002 <Not Available>. 2008-10-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p65819_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Wattier, M. J. , 2002-08-28 "The Clinton Factor: The Effect of Clinton's Personal Image in 2000 Presidential Primaries and in the General Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p65819_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: The paper examines the effect of the Clinton Factor on candidate choice in both 2000 presidential primaries and the November general election. The Clinton Factor--negative personal feelings about President Clinton--is examined with Voter News Service exit polls for 11 Democratic primaries and with National Election Study data for the presidential election. The paper examines several predictors, including Clinton's job performance, candidate images, Clinton's image, party identification, ideology, and electability. The results suggest that Clinton's image had a significant effect on primary voters and on general-election voters in the battleground states. |
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| Document Type: |
.pdf |
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36 |
| Word count: |
10628 |
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| The Clinton Factor: The Effects of Clinton's Personal Image in 2000 Presidential Primaries and in the General Election Mark J. Wattier Department of Government Law and International Affairs Murray State University Murray KY 42071 270.762.2695 Mark.Wattier@MurrayState.edu Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association August 2002 Boston. 2 Under normal circumstances factors directly associated with the candidates running for office determine whom citizens will support. Social scientists have investigated an impressive array of these candidaterelated |
| partisans (strongs weaks and leaners) who approved of their party's incumbent president voted for the incumbent in presidential elections from 1972 to 2000 (Author's analysis American National Election Studies Cumulative Data File 19482000 Study No. 8475). 22 The complete results of the logisticregression analyses are available from the author upon request. 23 This analysis assumes that the relative magnitudes of the beta weights indicate the relative effects of the predictor variables. The results for ideology electability criterion and party |
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