Author's Keywords: Keywords: presidential campaign, divisive primary, party unity, state-level voting	Convention Convention is an application service for managing large or small academic conferences, annual meetings, and other types of events! Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! Click here for more information.
Association: Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p66178_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Gurian, Paul-Henri., Atkeson, Lonna., Burroughs, Nathan. and Haynes, Audrey. "Divisive Primaries, National Party Unity and the Presidential Vote: an Explanatory Model of General Election Outcomes 1948-2000" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2002 <Not Available>. 2008-10-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p66178_index.html>

Gurian, P. , Atkeson, L. R., Burroughs, N. and Haynes, A. A. , 2002-08-28 "Divisive Primaries, National Party Unity and the Presidential Vote: an Explanatory Model of General Election Outcomes 1948-2000" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p66178_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: We hypothesize that national party divisiveness has a widespread and substantial negative effect on state vote outcomes while the impact of divisive state primaries is relatively minor and limited to only certain states. In this research, we measure the effects of divisive state primaries and national party divisiveness on state vote outcomes over time. Our model controls for state and national factors that correspond to individual-level voting determinants. The results are consistent with revisionist work on the divisive primary hypothesis, which suggests that factors endemic to the campaign context are more important to understanding general election outcomes than the primary process itself. National factors, including changes in the national economic situation and fatigue with the party in power, appear to be more critical in understanding general election outcomes than the effects of state division that occurs during a primary campaign. In particular, we found that national party unity was considerably more influential than state primary divisiveness. Nonetheless, this analysis suggests that state-level divisions that occur during the primary campaign do decrease support for the eventual nominee; the effect is small, but statistically significant. This too is consistent with recent work in this area.

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