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Association: Name: International Studies Association URL: http://www.isanet.org
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p69652_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Day, Shane. "Natural Resource Marginalization as a Source of Political Instability and Weakened States: How Different Governance Forms May Mitigate Increased Environmental Scarcity" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii, Mar 05, 2005 <Not Available>. 2008-10-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p69652_index.html>

Day, S. D. , 2005-03-05 "Natural Resource Marginalization as a Source of Political Instability and Weakened States: How Different Governance Forms May Mitigate Increased Environmental Scarcity" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p69652_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: There is a growing literature on the natural resource and environmental sources of violent conflict. Homer-Dixon's Combined Model (1994) offers a compelling framework for understanding how increased environmental scarcity may lead to weakened states, which in turn may lead to ethnic conflicts, coups d'etat, and deprivation conflicts. This paper attempts to add to this model by examining in greater detail the process of state deterioration, specifically by looking at a variety of indicators of political instability that may weaken the state and thus open the door to the possibility of wider conflict. This paper employs a cross-sectional time series model designed to test the correlations between environmental indicators, governance forms, and socio-economic data across several different indicators of political instability. Among the dependent variables tested are annual assassinations, strikes, major government crises, riots, anti-government demonstrations, and coups d'etat. In addition, by employing a restricted model that omits more or less democratic states, I test whether governance form is an important variable in staving off popular uprisings and political instability correlated with worsening natural resource and/or socio-economic conditions. Should autocratic regimes prove more capable of mitigating political instability resulting from these sources, this may challenge Western prescriptions for quick democratization amongst peripheral lesser developed countries reliant on primary goods production.

Tolerating Insurgency? A Multi-level Examination of the Effect of Internal Threat Environment on Political Tolerance Levels Across 36 Countries

Modeling Unobservable Political-Military Relevance: Split Population Binary Choice Model With an Application to the Trade Conflict Debate