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A Social Space -Time Dynamic Model as a Basis of International Network Theory

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Abstract:

A characteristic pattern, which I call the nodal pattern, describes certain kinds of international interactions for selected recent time periods; it is plausible but not yet investigated that this pattern is generally descriptive for all modern time periods. The behaviors in question include merchandise exports, importation of weapons, and hosting of foreign troops on national territory. The pattern, itself, consists, first, of a marked preference for all other nations to concentrate the above behaviors on a handful of named nations, the same nations in each instance. For the period investigated, these latter nations were United States, Russia, United Kingdom, France, and Japan. Second, the pattern exhibits (in the data shown here to modest degree) a bimodal fracturing of the named nations into two groups, such that other nations tend to concentrate on one or more nations of one group or the other. This fracture line was between United States, United Kingdom and France, and Japan, on one hand, and Russia on the other.

The above ideas are interesting and suggestive of further empirical work; however, the focus in the proposed paper is on the ability of a particular dynamic mathematical model to replicate the nodal pattern, at any one moment, and its changes over past historical moments, i.e. its dynamics. The mathematical model in question is a further development and modification of the social field theory proposed several decades ago by Quincy Wright (1955) and further developed by Rummel (1965). This same model can suggest connections from the nodal pattern to several other phenomena and directions of inquiry. The latter include: arms race modeling, “power transition” and global war, spheres of influence and bimodal polarization, and rational choice modeling. A complimentarity between utility maximizing and dynamics becomes evident.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

1 (255), 2 (254), time (236), parti (204), j (169), space (133), 0 (121), equat (113), x (111), k (110), m (91), z (81), one (80), space-tim (79), refer (75), w (74), frame (63), given (60), social (60), respons (60), coordin (56),

Author's Keywords:

networks, nodel network, utility maximizing, interaction, Richardson process, Richardson arms race equations, international field theory, civilizational convergence, spheres of influence, bipolarity, power transition, dynamic modeling
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Name: International Studies Association
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MLA Citation:

Williamson, Paul. "A Social Space -Time Dynamic Model as a Basis of International Network Theory" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii, Mar 05, 2005 <Not Available>. 2008-10-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p71979_index.html>

APA Citation:

Williamson, P. , 2005-03-05 "A Social Space -Time Dynamic Model as a Basis of International Network Theory" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p71979_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: A characteristic pattern, which I call the nodal pattern, describes certain kinds of international interactions for selected recent time periods; it is plausible but not yet investigated that this pattern is generally descriptive for all modern time periods. The behaviors in question include merchandise exports, importation of weapons, and hosting of foreign troops on national territory. The pattern, itself, consists, first, of a marked preference for all other nations to concentrate the above behaviors on a handful of named nations, the same nations in each instance. For the period investigated, these latter nations were United States, Russia, United Kingdom, France, and Japan. Second, the pattern exhibits (in the data shown here to modest degree) a bimodal fracturing of the named nations into two groups, such that other nations tend to concentrate on one or more nations of one group or the other. This fracture line was between United States, United Kingdom and France, and Japan, on one hand, and Russia on the other.

The above ideas are interesting and suggestive of further empirical work; however, the focus in the proposed paper is on the ability of a particular dynamic mathematical model to replicate the nodal pattern, at any one moment, and its changes over past historical moments, i.e. its dynamics. The mathematical model in question is a further development and modification of the social field theory proposed several decades ago by Quincy Wright (1955) and further developed by Rummel (1965). This same model can suggest connections from the nodal pattern to several other phenomena and directions of inquiry. The latter include: arms race modeling, “power transition” and global war, spheres of influence and bimodal polarization, and rational choice modeling. A complimentarity between utility maximizing and dynamics becomes evident.

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Document Type: .PDF
Page count: 62
Word count: 26772
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© 2005 by Global Vision Inc. A Social Space -Time Dynamic Model as a Basis of International Network Theory Paul R. W illiamson Global Vision Inc. paulrw@globechange.org www.globechange.org Presented at International Studies Association annual meeting Panel W A35 International Networks and International Politics Honolulu 2005 Abstract. A characteristic pattern which I call the nodal pattern describes certain kinds of international interactions for selected recent time periods; it is plausible but not yet investigated that this pattern is generally descriptive
USA vs. Russia as senders N = 81 Pe a rson r = - 0.42 6.00 4.00 2.00 Russia as sender 0.00 -3. 00 -2. 00 -1. 00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 -2.00 -4.00 -6.00 -8.00 USA a s se nde r


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