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Political Risk and Foreign Direct Investment: The Impact of Transparent State Policy Formation on the Pricing of Political Risk Coverage. |
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Abstract:
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The nexus of foreign direct investment and economic growth in developing economies is incorporated into neoclassical economic theory. The necessity (but insufficiency) of economic growth to facilitate political development has been discussed at length by Rueschemeyer, Stephens and Stephens (1992), Amsden (1992, 2000), and Evans (1995). This paper is a development of an ongoing research project that seeks to explain the decision process utilized by executives of transnational corporations and lending institutions when undertaking investment decisions in the developing states with immature government institutions. The author has conducted interviews with the management of integrated global energy firms, international lending institutions, and the major commercial underwriters of political risk coverage. This paper will utilize a holistic level of analysis model to explain how these non-state actors evaluate political risk Further I will illustrate how these actors perceptions of political risk impacts directly the cost of political risk coverage, and the foreign direct investment decision process. I utilize a holistic analysis of the investment decision process and political risk coverage pricing related to the Baku-Tiblisi-Cehyan (Caspian) oil pipeline project. This project is an interesting test of the author's theoretical models given the dynamic interaction of multiple actors having conflicting interests at various levels of state and corporate policy formation. Transparency in the process of state policy formation will be shown to be a key causal variable in explaining FDI. Given that the Caspian states are high absorbers, the construction of the pipeline to facilitate economic and political development is critical. I believe that the study of the relationship of political risk insurance to Foreign Direct Investment needs to be given voice. I make this argument from a philosophy of science perspective (Ragin 1994). |
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mef (166), risk (165), caspian (158), firm (126), polit (126), project (119), energi (115), invest (110), develop (83), state (71), oil (68), june (65), progress (64), work (62), region (60), michaud (59), 2003 (58), dw (58), cost (55), oper (52), p (52), |
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Association:
Name: International Studies Association URL: http://www.isanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Michaud, Dennis. "Political Risk and Foreign Direct Investment: The Impact of Transparent State Policy Formation on the Pricing of Political Risk Coverage." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Le Centre Sheraton Hotel, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Mar 17, 2004 <Not Available>. 2008-10-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p73007_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Michaud, D. W. , 2004-03-17 "Political Risk and Foreign Direct Investment: The Impact of Transparent State Policy Formation on the Pricing of Political Risk Coverage." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Le Centre Sheraton Hotel, Montreal, Quebec, Canada Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p73007_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: The nexus of foreign direct investment and economic growth in developing economies is incorporated into neoclassical economic theory. The necessity (but insufficiency) of economic growth to facilitate political development has been discussed at length by Rueschemeyer, Stephens and Stephens (1992), Amsden (1992, 2000), and Evans (1995). This paper is a development of an ongoing research project that seeks to explain the decision process utilized by executives of transnational corporations and lending institutions when undertaking investment decisions in the developing states with immature government institutions. The author has conducted interviews with the management of integrated global energy firms, international lending institutions, and the major commercial underwriters of political risk coverage. This paper will utilize a holistic level of analysis model to explain how these non-state actors evaluate political risk Further I will illustrate how these actors perceptions of political risk impacts directly the cost of political risk coverage, and the foreign direct investment decision process. I utilize a holistic analysis of the investment decision process and political risk coverage pricing related to the Baku-Tiblisi-Cehyan (Caspian) oil pipeline project. This project is an interesting test of the author's theoretical models given the dynamic interaction of multiple actors having conflicting interests at various levels of state and corporate policy formation. Transparency in the process of state policy formation will be shown to be a key causal variable in explaining FDI. Given that the Caspian states are high absorbers, the construction of the pipeline to facilitate economic and political development is critical. I believe that the study of the relationship of political risk insurance to Foreign Direct Investment needs to be given voice. I make this argument from a philosophy of science perspective (Ragin 1994). |
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| Document Type: |
.PDF |
| Page count: |
59 |
| Word count: |
15447 |
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| POLITICAL RISK AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: The Impact of Transparent State Policy Formation on the Pricing of Political Risk Coverage By Dennis Wright Michaud MBA Ph.D. Director: Program in Global Commerce Visiting Assistant Professor of Sociology Box 1916 Brown University Providence Rhode Island 02912 USA —— Presented at the ISA Annual Conference Montreal Canada March 19 2004 —— Work in Progress: Not to be cited without written permission of the author. DW Michaud 2 INTRODUCTION This paper serves as |
| will be deemed sufficient to cover the business enterprises composite cost of capital. The net outcome of this process might be for MEFs to reject energy projects that would assist greatly the Caspian Basin’s economic and political development. It is therefore essential for all state Work in Progress – June 2003 DW Michaud 59 actors to recognize the importance of the regions political climate upon MEFs’ investment policies. Without a thoughtful effort by states to reduce political uncertainty in |
Similar Titles:
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