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The Effect of Concurrent Congressional and Presidential Elections: District Level Relative Vote and Presidential Support in Congress

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Abstract:

Scholarship on the American Presidency
seems to have reached a consensus that the largest determinants of
Presidential success in the legislative arena is the number of seats
controlled by the President's party, followed by ideological affinity,
and presidential public approval [e.g. Bond and Fleisher 2000; Edwards
1989; Jones 1994; Peterson 1990]. However there is still far more
variance in Congressional voting behavior on Presidential requests left
unexplained than has been explained by these factors. This paper
examines the relationship between the relative popular vote received
the President and the member of Congress at the District level from
1952-2000 and Congressional voting behavior. By looking at each
individual to serve in Congress in the period, I create a panel dataset
that can be analyzed with fixed effects for each individual who has
served in Congress. The panel data analysis finds that, in addition to
the factors identified in the existing literature, relative District
level election results are an important indicator in determining the
level of support members of Congress give to Presidential legislative
requests.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

vote (224), presid (220), congress (209), member (126), relat (119), support (103), elect (80), presidenti (80), posit (77), legisl (76), district (68), parti (63), congression (63), ideolog (55), public (54), effect (49), 1 (45), use (39), approv (39), call (37), roll (35),
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Association:
Name: The Midwest Political Science Association
URL:
http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/


Citation:
URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p83216_index.html
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MLA Citation:

Mann, Christopher. "The Effect of Concurrent Congressional and Presidential Elections: District Level Relative Vote and Presidential Support in Congress" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 15, 2004 Online <.PDF>. 2008-08-16 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p83216_index.html>

APA Citation:

Mann, C. B. (2004, Apr) "The Effect of Concurrent Congressional and Presidential Elections: District Level Relative Vote and Presidential Support in Congress" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois Online <.PDF> Retrieved 2008-08-16 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p83216_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Scholarship on the American Presidency
seems to have reached a consensus that the largest determinants of
Presidential success in the legislative arena is the number of seats
controlled by the President's party, followed by ideological affinity,
and presidential public approval [e.g. Bond and Fleisher 2000; Edwards
1989; Jones 1994; Peterson 1990]. However there is still far more
variance in Congressional voting behavior on Presidential requests left
unexplained than has been explained by these factors. This paper
examines the relationship between the relative popular vote received
the President and the member of Congress at the District level from
1952-2000 and Congressional voting behavior. By looking at each
individual to serve in Congress in the period, I create a panel dataset
that can be analyzed with fixed effects for each individual who has
served in Congress. The panel data analysis finds that, in addition to
the factors identified in the existing literature, relative District
level election results are an important indicator in determining the
level of support members of Congress give to Presidential legislative
requests.

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Abstract OnlyAll Academic Inc.
Associated Document AvailableThe Midwest Political Science Association
Associated Document AvailablePolitical Research Online

Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 32
Word count: 10276
Text sample:
THE EFFECT OF CONCURRENT CONGRESSIONAL AND PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: DISTRICT LEVEL RELATIVE VOTE AND PRESIDENTIAL SUPPORT IN CONGRESS Christopher B. Mann Department of Political Science Yale University Version: April 2004 Work in Progress Please do not cite without consulting the author ABSTRACT Recent analyses of what contributes to Congressional support for the U.S. President’s legislative positions have identified three major factors: co-partisanship with the President ideological affinity and public approval of the President. I propose adding a new factor: the
9 President 2rd Term -0.13 *** -0.08 *** 0.08 *** 0-->1 Notes: Each cell reflects the expected change in support for the President with a one standard deviation (or 0 to 1) increase in that variable with all other variables held at their means. The standard deviations are calculated using only the contested elections included in the model used to calculate the coefficients of the models in Table 4a. *** p<0.01; ** p<0.05; * p<0.10. 31


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