Citation

A Bayesian Multilevel Modeling Approach to Time Series Cross-Sectional Data

Abstract | Word Stems | Keywords | Association | Citation | Get this Document | Similar Titles




STOP!

You can now view the document associated with this citation by clicking on the "View Document as HTML" link below.

View Document as HTML:
Click here to view the document

Abstract:

The analysis of time series cross-sectional (TSCS) data has become increasingly popular in political science. Meanwhile, political scientists are also becoming more interested in the use of multilevel models. However, little work exists to understand the benefits of multilevel modeling when applied to TSCS data. We employ Monte Carlo simulations to benchmark the performance of a Bayesian multilevel model (BML) for TSCS data against popular models used in the literature. We use various diagnostics to analyze the
performance of our approach relative to these techniques. Compared to the most commonly employed estimators for such data, we find that the Bayesian multilevel model is (1) equally unbiased on average,
(2) considerably more efficient, and (3) reports higher quality standard errors. Moreover, the BML is more general and flexible, which offers researchers additional advantages for TSCS data.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

estim (110), model (97), data (95), 1 (82), error (66), q (58), multilevel (58), 100 (56), 2 (55), time (50), unit (48), bayesian (44), level (43), ol (41), 15 (41), j (39), tscs (39), 0.25 (38), 0.3 (37), 20 (37), standard (36),
Convention
All Academic Convention makes running your annual conference simple and cost effective. It is your online solution for abstract management, peer review, and scheduling for your annual meeting or convention.
Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf.Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets!
Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more!Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering.
Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more!Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches!
Click here for more information.

Association:
Name: The Midwest Political Science Association
URL:
http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/


Citation:
URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p84518_index.html
Direct Link:
HTML Code:

MLA Citation:

Shor, Boris. "A Bayesian Multilevel Modeling Approach to Time Series Cross-Sectional Data" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 07, 2005 <Not Available>. 2008-10-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p84518_index.html>

APA Citation:

Shor, B. , 2005-04-07 "A Bayesian Multilevel Modeling Approach to Time Series Cross-Sectional Data" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois Online <.PDF>. 2008-10-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p84518_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: The analysis of time series cross-sectional (TSCS) data has become increasingly popular in political science. Meanwhile, political scientists are also becoming more interested in the use of multilevel models. However, little work exists to understand the benefits of multilevel modeling when applied to TSCS data. We employ Monte Carlo simulations to benchmark the performance of a Bayesian multilevel model (BML) for TSCS data against popular models used in the literature. We use various diagnostics to analyze the
performance of our approach relative to these techniques. Compared to the most commonly employed estimators for such data, we find that the Bayesian multilevel model is (1) equally unbiased on average,
(2) considerably more efficient, and (3) reports higher quality standard errors. Moreover, the BML is more general and flexible, which offers researchers additional advantages for TSCS data.

Get this Document:

Find this citation or document at one or all of these locations below. The links below may have the citation or the entire document for free or you may purchase access to the document. Clicking on these links will change the site you're on and empty your shopping cart.

Associated Document Available The Midwest Political Science Association
Abstract Only All Academic Inc.
Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 26
Word count: 7526
Text sample:
A Bayesian Multilevel Modeling Approach to Time Series Cross-Sectional Data Boris Shor Joseph Bafumi Luke Keele§ David Parkļ April 4 2005 Abstract The analysis of time series cross-sectional (TSCS) data has become increasingly popular in political science. Meanwhile political scientists are also becoming more interested in the use of multilevel models. However little work exists to understand the benefits of multilevel modeling when applied to TSCS data. We employ Monte Carlo simulations to benchmark the performance of a Bayesian
the code relating to looping through simulations has been removed model{ for(i in 1:(n.units*n.years)) { y[i] ~ dnorm(mu[i] tau.y[unit[i]]) mu[i] <- a.unit[unit[i]] + a.year[year[i]] + beta[j]*x[i] } beta ~ dnorm (0 0.0001) for(j in 1:n.units) { a.unit[j] ~ dnorm(0 tau.unit) tau.y[j] <- pow(sigma.y[j] -2) sigma.y[j] ~ dunif(0 100) } tau.unit <- pow(sigma.unit -2) sigma.unit ~ dunif(0 100) for(t in 1:n.years) { a.year[t] ~ dnorm (0 tau.year) } tau.year <- pow(sigma.year -2) sigma.year ~ dunif(0 100) } 26


Similar Titles:
Age-Period-Cohort Analyses of Repeated Cross-section Survey Data: A Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling Approach

Estimating Party Effects on Legislative Behavior: Bayesian Estimates Based on European Parliament Data

Multilevel Modelling of Time Series Data


 
All Academic, Inc. is your premier source for research and conference management. Visit our website, www.allacademic.com, to see how we can help you today.