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Global Warming, Migration and Refugees |
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Abstract:
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Scholars of climate change predict that global environmental conditions will deteriorate considerably during the 21 st century. What are the potential implications of this prediction for population migration? Climate change is an evolving phenomenon whose effects are not yet fully manifested. This paper seeks to gain insight into this question by studying the role of environmental change in human migration. Theoretical analysis suggests that in the face of environmental decline, people will decide to migrate from affected areas. The empirical analysis proceeds in two steps. The first step presents evidence from three case studies on migration in which environmental decline played a role in the population movement: internal migration in the United States during the 1930s, internal migration in Bangladesh (East Pakistan), and migration from Bangladesh to India since the 1950s. The second step of the empirical analysis conducts a large N statistical analysis of the role of the environment on population migrations in the 1990s. The results of the case studies indicate that the environment has been a factor in migration. The results from the large N suggest that environmental factors affect Human migration. The paper concludes by evaluating the implications of these findings for policy making, and for future research. |
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812 (2), -855 (2), contact (1), environ (1), indiana (1), street (1), rafael (1), public (1), reuveni (1), school (1), theoret (1), bloomington (1), environment (1), rreuveny@indiana.edu (1), professor (1), progress (1), obtain (1), univers (1), movement (1), statist (1), analys (1), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association
URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Reuveny, Rafael. and Moore, Will. "Global Warming, Migration and Refugees" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40863_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Reuveny, R. and Moore, W. H. , 2005-09-01 "Global Warming, Migration and Refugees" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40863_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Scholars of climate change predict that global environmental conditions will deteriorate considerably during the 21 st century. What are the potential implications of this prediction for population migration? Climate change is an evolving phenomenon whose effects are not yet fully manifested. This paper seeks to gain insight into this question by studying the role of environmental change in human migration. Theoretical analysis suggests that in the face of environmental decline, people will decide to migrate from affected areas. The empirical analysis proceeds in two steps. The first step presents evidence from three case studies on migration in which environmental decline played a role in the population movement: internal migration in the United States during the 1930s, internal migration in Bangladesh (East Pakistan), and migration from Bangladesh to India since the 1950s. The second step of the empirical analysis conducts a large N statistical analysis of the role of the environment on population migrations in the 1990s. The results of the case studies indicate that the environment has been a factor in migration. The results from the large N suggest that environmental factors affect Human migration. The paper concludes by evaluating the implications of these findings for policy making, and for future research. |
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| Our 2005 APSA paper "The Role of the Environment in Population Movement: Theoretical and Statistical Analyses " is a work in progress. To obtain a copy please contact: Rafael Reuveny Associate Professor The School of Public and Environmental Affairs Indiana University 1315 East Tenth Street Bloomington IN 47405 rreuveny@indiana.edu phone: 812-855-4944 fax: 812-855-7802 |
| 2005 APSA paper "The Role of the Environment in Population Movement: Theoretical and Statistical Analyses " is a work in progress. To obtain a copy please contact: Rafael Reuveny Associate Professor The School of Public and Environmental Affairs Indiana University 1315 East Tenth Street Bloomington IN 47405 rreuveny@indiana.edu phone: 812-855-4944 fax: 812-855-7802 |
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