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Anti-Americanism in Electoral Politics: Insights from South Korea's 2002 Presidential Election

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Abstract:

Since September 11, 2001, anti-Americanism has emerged as an important issue in international politics. In democratic election campaigns, anti-Americanism should be an attractive issue where it is expected to have a favorable impact on key swing vote constituencies. Anti-Americanism has certain inherent ideological appeals and more varied historically based attractions. Anti-Americanism should be least attractive where countries continue to rely on U.S. security guarantees. South Korea’s December 2002 presidential election, in which winner Roh Moo-hyun openly sympathized with anti-American demonstrators, appears to contradict this expectation. Yet closer analysis of individual-level polling data shows that anti-Americanism was, both statistically and substantively, much less significant than alternative campaign issues. By activating the numerous voters hostile to the North Korean regime, anti-Americanism actually hurt the victor’s electoral chances. The approach appears useful in understanding why anti-Americanism is a more prominent electoral issue in some regions, such as Western Europe and Latin America, and a less prominent one in others, for example Eastern Europe, East Asia, and Oceania.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

issu (106), korea (106), 2002 (96), u.s (94), vote (88), north (87), american (76), south (75), voter (72), elect (72), parti (70), korean (64), anti (63), like (62), anti-american (55), econom (55), roh (54), kim (50), polici (49), origin (49), model (45),

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anti-Americanism, South Korea, 2002 presidential election, military security, military alliances
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Name: American Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Horowitz, Shale. and Kim, Sunwoong. "Anti-Americanism in Electoral Politics: Insights from South Korea's 2002 Presidential Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p41484_index.html>

APA Citation:

Horowitz, S. and Kim, S. , 2005-09-01 "Anti-Americanism in Electoral Politics: Insights from South Korea's 2002 Presidential Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p41484_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Since September 11, 2001, anti-Americanism has emerged as an important issue in international politics. In democratic election campaigns, anti-Americanism should be an attractive issue where it is expected to have a favorable impact on key swing vote constituencies. Anti-Americanism has certain inherent ideological appeals and more varied historically based attractions. Anti-Americanism should be least attractive where countries continue to rely on U.S. security guarantees. South Korea’s December 2002 presidential election, in which winner Roh Moo-hyun openly sympathized with anti-American demonstrators, appears to contradict this expectation. Yet closer analysis of individual-level polling data shows that anti-Americanism was, both statistically and substantively, much less significant than alternative campaign issues. By activating the numerous voters hostile to the North Korean regime, anti-Americanism actually hurt the victor’s electoral chances. The approach appears useful in understanding why anti-Americanism is a more prominent electoral issue in some regions, such as Western Europe and Latin America, and a less prominent one in others, for example Eastern Europe, East Asia, and Oceania.

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Document Type: PDF
Page count: 50
Word count: 12124
Text sample:
Anti-Americanism in Electoral Politics: Insights from South Korea’s 2002 Presidential Election Since September 11 2001 anti-Americanism has emerged as an important issue in international politics. In democratic election campaigns anti-Americanism should be an attractive issue where it is expected to have a favorable impact on key swing vote constituencies. Anti-Americanism has certain inherent ideological appeals and more varied historically based attractions. Anti-Americanism should be least attractive where countries continue to rely on U.S. security guarantees. South Korea’s December 2002
component of services and manufacturing on the other. 18 In this and subsequent models variables not significant at the 15% level are trimmed for the presentation of results. Categorical level variables—the four age dummy variables the two education dummy variables or the two income variables—are only trimmed where a given one of the groups is collectively not statistically significant at the 15% level. This facilitates a clearer presentation of probability estimates derived from the results. 19 Due to South


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