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SNTV and Its Political Consequences: Mechanical Effect, Strategic Candidate Nomination, and the Origins of Japan’s One-Party Dominance

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Abstract:

An electoral system generates political consequences through two routes, one directly through the mechanical working of the system and the other indirectly through actors’ strategic reactions. This paper demonstrates that a comprehensive anatomy of the single non-transferable vote (SNTV) system’s mechanical and strategic effects together provides the key with which to understand how the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) survived the early electoral competition and consolidated its governing power in postwar Japan. More specifically, we establish that the mechanical effect of the SNTV was such that ceteris paribus LDP’s seat share increased, not decreased, as the LDP reduced its number of candidates. We also show that such factors as urbanization, occupational distribution and the concentration of elderly population had no independent effects on the number of LDP candidates, substantiating that the process of LDP’s candidate nomination was strategic and politically determined, not socio-economically generated as conventionally believed (146 words).

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ldp (111), candid (85), district (74), polit (69), seat (68), sntv (65), number (61), elector (55), mechan (52), parti (49), vote (48), variabl (48), effect (45), elect (44), share (41), system (39), japan (37), strateg (35), jsp (30), data (29), one (28),

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mechanical effect, candidate nomination, electoral systems, SNTV, Japan, LDP, one-party dominance
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Name: American Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Horiuchi, Yusaku. and Kohno, Masaru. "SNTV and Its Political Consequences: Mechanical Effect, Strategic Candidate Nomination, and the Origins of Japan’s One-Party Dominance" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL, Sep 02, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p60673_index.html>

APA Citation:

Horiuchi, Y. and Kohno, M. , 2004-09-02 "SNTV and Its Political Consequences: Mechanical Effect, Strategic Candidate Nomination, and the Origins of Japan’s One-Party Dominance" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p60673_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: An electoral system generates political consequences through two routes, one directly through the mechanical working of the system and the other indirectly through actors’ strategic reactions. This paper demonstrates that a comprehensive anatomy of the single non-transferable vote (SNTV) system’s mechanical and strategic effects together provides the key with which to understand how the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) survived the early electoral competition and consolidated its governing power in postwar Japan. More specifically, we establish that the mechanical effect of the SNTV was such that ceteris paribus LDP’s seat share increased, not decreased, as the LDP reduced its number of candidates. We also show that such factors as urbanization, occupational distribution and the concentration of elderly population had no independent effects on the number of LDP candidates, substantiating that the process of LDP’s candidate nomination was strategic and politically determined, not socio-economically generated as conventionally believed (146 words).

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Associated Document Available American Political Science Association
Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 35
Word count: 8400
Text sample:
SNTV and Its Political Consequences: Mechanical Effect Strategic Candidate Nomination and the Origins of Japan's One-Party Dominance* Yusaku Horiuchi** and Masaru Kohno*** Last Updated: July 27 2004 * Prepared for delivery at the 2004 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association September 2 ­ September 5 2004. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. We gratefully acknowledge the financial supports from the Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences at the National University of Singapore (R-108-000-008-112) and the School
1.00 0.45 (1.09) (1.25) (1.64) Constant 0.45 0.36 -0.80 (2.64) (3.62) (3.42) RMSE 0.45 0.48 0.55 R-squared 0.57 0.63 0.67 F( 8 53) 65.69 64.51 195.60 Num. of Districts 455 410 426 Note: *** p<0.01 ** p<0.05 * p<0.10 (two-sided). The numbers in parentheses are robust standard errors. RMSE stands for the root mean squared errors. 35


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