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		All Academic Inc.
		American Political Science Association
		Political Research Online

Document Type:	.pdf
Page count:	19
Word count:	10155
Text sample:
APSA 2002 1 The End of the Long Major Power War? Understanding and Preparing for the Emerging Major Power Challenge to America’s Dominant Position within the International System Dr. Chris Kofinis Todd Belt ckofinis@prodigy.net California State University Northridge Aug 28-31 APSA 2002 Boston Mass Please do cite or quote without the Author’s Permission Work in Progress APSA 2002 2 There was a wise man in the East whose constant prayer was that he might see today with the eyes
the mantle of power. Eventually unless dramatic revolutions in power are exploited and perpetuated a transition will occur. The question is whether it will be a peaceful or violent one. “We must account sufficiently for the interests of the large industrial nations to discourage them from challenging our leadership or seeking to overturn the established political or economic order…[and that] we must maintain the mechanisms for deterring potential competitors from even aspiring to a larger regional or global role.”