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Dollar for Dollar: The Effect of Strategic Incumbent Spending on Voter Decision Making

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Abstract:

In Congressional elections, incumbent candidates possess a number of advantages over their opponents. Considering the sizeable gap in their ability to raise and spend funds, money is often assumed to be one of those advantages. However, scholarly research provides mixed evidence on the effects of spending by incumbent candidates in competitive elections, especially at the individual level. This paper develops a dynamic model of how the information available to the electorate responds to different spending strategies by Congressional candidates. The logic of this model implies that the main effect of incumbent spending is to reduce the marginal effect of challenger spending. This hypothesis is confirmed by analysis based on the data originally used by Jacobson (1990) in opening up inquiry on this topic at the individual level. Additional implications of the theoretical model are discussed in the conclusion.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

spend (194), inform (148), incumb (147), challeng (128), b (100), candid (96), model (87), campaign (86), voter (80), 1 (72), elect (68), effect (66), 2 (44), money (43), environ (41), jacobson (40), figur (39), polit (38), bias (36), probabl (35), input (35),

Author's Keywords:

Congressional Elections, Dynamic Models, Voter Decision Making, Money
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Association:
Name: Southern Political Science Association
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http://www.spsa.net


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MLA Citation:

McClurg, Scott. "Dollar for Dollar: The Effect of Strategic Incumbent Spending on Voter Decision Making" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Inter-Continental Hotel, New Orleans, LA, Jan 08, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p67694_index.html>

APA Citation:

McClurg, S. , 2004-01-08 "Dollar for Dollar: The Effect of Strategic Incumbent Spending on Voter Decision Making" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Inter-Continental Hotel, New Orleans, LA Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p67694_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: In Congressional elections, incumbent candidates possess a number of advantages over their opponents. Considering the sizeable gap in their ability to raise and spend funds, money is often assumed to be one of those advantages. However, scholarly research provides mixed evidence on the effects of spending by incumbent candidates in competitive elections, especially at the individual level. This paper develops a dynamic model of how the information available to the electorate responds to different spending strategies by Congressional candidates. The logic of this model implies that the main effect of incumbent spending is to reduce the marginal effect of challenger spending. This hypothesis is confirmed by analysis based on the data originally used by Jacobson (1990) in opening up inquiry on this topic at the individual level. Additional implications of the theoretical model are discussed in the conclusion.

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Associated Document Available Political Research Online
Associated Document Available Southern Political Science Association

Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 42
Word count: 10220
Text sample:
Dollar for Dollar: The Effect of Strategic Incumbent Spending on Voter Decision Making* Scott D. McClurg Assistant Professor Department of Political Science Southern Illinois University 3165 Faner Hall Mailcode 4501 Carbondale IL 62901-4501 (W) 618-453-3191 (E) mcclurg@siu.edu December 18th 2003 Draft 1.0 *This paper was prepared for presentation at the 2004 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Meeting in New Orleans LA. The author gratefully acknowledges Gary Jacobson for sharing his data. All errors are the responsibility of
[B-3] P3 = A + B + aA + bB + a2A + b2B + aot+3Ao + bot+3Bo [B-4] … … … … … … … … Pt = A + B + aA + bB + … + atA + btB + aot+1Ao + bot+1Bo [B-5] We can rearrange equation B-5 in a manner consistent with the proof in Appendix A. The only difference is that the initial condition and retention terms cannot be grouped with any of


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