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The Puzzle of Voter Turnout in Elections to the European Parliament |
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Abstract:
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Voter turnout in elections to the European Parliament has continuously declined since the first direct election in 1979, and although it varies immensely among member states, the average EP-turnout has constantly been more than 20 percentage points lower than the average turnout in corresponding prior national parliamentary elections. This project investigates what factors are associated with voter turnout in elections to the European Parliament among EU member states. The methodology utilized is standard multivariate OLS regression analysis, using a member-state level cross-sectional time-series data-set covering the six election years 1979, 1984, 1989, 1994, 1999, and 2004, and including data on all member states at the time of each election, except the ten new member states in the 2004 election. Addressing one of the most visible problems of democratic legitimacy in the EU, I find a positive relationship between the degree of the proportionality in the allocation of seats and votes among EU member states and turnout in EP-elections. Furthermore, I find a positive relationship between turnout and the abundant positive publicity and media coverage in member states holding the EU-presidency before the election. Finally, I find a positive relationship between turnout in EP-elections and a positive EU-attitude among citizens. |
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elect (167), state (114), turnout (113), member (104), eu (87), variabl (79), european (72), ep (56), 1 (48), data (46), ep-elect (40), level (38), vote (36), parliament (35), time (34), proport (32), includ (32), year (31), may (30), 2004 (29), nation (28), |
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Association:
Name: Southern Political Science Association URL: http://www.spsa.net
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Olsson, Ann. "The Puzzle of Voter Turnout in Elections to the European Parliament" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, TBA, TBA, Jan 05, 2006 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p68380_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Olsson, A. M. , 2006-01-05 "The Puzzle of Voter Turnout in Elections to the European Parliament" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, TBA, TBA Online <PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p68380_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: Voter turnout in elections to the European Parliament has continuously declined since the first direct election in 1979, and although it varies immensely among member states, the average EP-turnout has constantly been more than 20 percentage points lower than the average turnout in corresponding prior national parliamentary elections. This project investigates what factors are associated with voter turnout in elections to the European Parliament among EU member states. The methodology utilized is standard multivariate OLS regression analysis, using a member-state level cross-sectional time-series data-set covering the six election years 1979, 1984, 1989, 1994, 1999, and 2004, and including data on all member states at the time of each election, except the ten new member states in the 2004 election. Addressing one of the most visible problems of democratic legitimacy in the EU, I find a positive relationship between the degree of the proportionality in the allocation of seats and votes among EU member states and turnout in EP-elections. Furthermore, I find a positive relationship between turnout and the abundant positive publicity and media coverage in member states holding the EU-presidency before the election. Finally, I find a positive relationship between turnout in EP-elections and a positive EU-attitude among citizens. |
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PDF |
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29 |
| Word count: |
8293 |
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| The Puzzle of Voter Turnout in Elections to the European Parliament Anna Olsson Department of Government American University anna.olsson@american.edu Prepared for presentation at the Annual Conference of the Southern Political Science Association held in Atlanta 5-7 January 2006. Abstract Voter turnout in elections to the European Parliament has continuously declined since the first direct election in 1979 and although it varies immensely among member states the average EP-turnout has constantly been more than 20 percentage points lower than the |
| EU web site member state is based on proportional representation and 0 otherwise (0 1) Unitary state Dummy variable coded 1 the member state is a unitary literature state and 0 otherwise (0 1) Unemployment Unemployment rate in the member state at the time of the OECD and ILO election (%) Log of GDP Log of GDP per capita in the member state at the end of World Bank per capita the year prior to the election (1995 constant |
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