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Causal Analysis in Policy Histories

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Abstract:

Causal analysis is vital to the practice of policy research, where it is used to diagnose problems, project future impacts, and evaluate the effectiveness of (and assign responsibility for) past interventions. This paper focuses on one research practice of special relevance to policy-oriented political scientists: the production of valid causal explanations though historical research. Building on recent developments in qualitative causal analysis, this paper develops a set of concepts and techniques designed to expand the policy historian's tool kit. In the first section I review recent findings emerging from the Consortium on Qualitative Research Methods that carry important implications for the practice of policy research. The remaining three sections evaluate the nature of historical agents, processes, and causal linkages in policy histories. The section on agency considers the challenges and rewards of soliciting causal information from reflective, purposeful agents of change. The section on processes describes the revealing inertia interview technique and evaluates the merits of historical narrative as a medium for scientific communication. The section on causal linkages introduces the concept of causal elasticity to distinguish between the efforts and impacts of historical actors.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

causal (116), polici (87), research (75), process (70), polit (48), variabl (46), studi (43), approach (41), analysi (41), social (40), assess (39), actor (36), effect (36), outcom (35), one (33), trace (33), case (33), histor (32), may (31), inform (30), method (30),

Author's Keywords:

methodology, policy, qualitative methods, environment
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Name: International Studies Association
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MLA Citation:

Steinberg, Paul. "Causal Analysis in Policy Histories" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Le Centre Sheraton Hotel, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Mar 17, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p72540_index.html>

APA Citation:

Steinberg, P. F. , 2004-03-17 "Causal Analysis in Policy Histories" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Le Centre Sheraton Hotel, Montreal, Quebec, Canada Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p72540_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Causal analysis is vital to the practice of policy research, where it is used to diagnose problems, project future impacts, and evaluate the effectiveness of (and assign responsibility for) past interventions. This paper focuses on one research practice of special relevance to policy-oriented political scientists: the production of valid causal explanations though historical research. Building on recent developments in qualitative causal analysis, this paper develops a set of concepts and techniques designed to expand the policy historian's tool kit. In the first section I review recent findings emerging from the Consortium on Qualitative Research Methods that carry important implications for the practice of policy research. The remaining three sections evaluate the nature of historical agents, processes, and causal linkages in policy histories. The section on agency considers the challenges and rewards of soliciting causal information from reflective, purposeful agents of change. The section on processes describes the revealing inertia interview technique and evaluates the merits of historical narrative as a medium for scientific communication. The section on causal linkages introduces the concept of causal elasticity to distinguish between the efforts and impacts of historical actors.

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Associated Document Available Political Research Online
Associated Document Available International Studies Association

Document Type: .PDF
Page count: 38
Word count: 11308
Text sample:
Causal Analysis in Policy Histories Paul F. Steinberg Department of Humanities and Social Sciences Harvey Mudd College paul_steinberg@hmc.edu Paper prepared for the panel "Methodological Innovations in the Study of International Environmental Politics " International Studies Association Annual Convention Montreal March 17-20 2004. 2 Abstract. Accurate assessments of cause-and-effect relationships are essential for understanding the origins and effectiveness of public policies. In practice however policy- oriented researchers seeking rigorous approaches for evaluating causation face an unsatisfying choice between the sophisticated
Charles (2001) Mechanisms in Political Processes Annual Review of Political Science 4:21-41. Tuchman Barbara The March of Folly from Troy to Vietnam Knopf New York 1984. United Nations Secretariat Population Division Department of Economic and Social Information Policy Analysis Evolution of Population Policy Since 1984: A Global Perspective Population Policies and Programmes United Nations New York 1993 pp. 27- 41. World Bank World Development Report 2003 Oxford University Press 2003. Young Oran R. (ed.) The Effectiveness of International Environmental


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