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IS BAYESIAN ANALYSIS SUPERIOR? ABENCHMARKED COMPARISON OF REGRESSION AND BAYESIAN ANALYSIS ONINCOMPLETE STATE-LEVEL DATA |
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Abstract:
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The question addressed in this paper is whether or not
Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) Bayesian analysis does a superior job
of assessing probable parameters when compared to standard Ordinary
Least Squares (OLS) given state-level data with a significant amount of
missing data. Because a good deal of state-level data is collected by
states themselves, incomplete or missing data is a common problem, as
some states do a better job of reporting certain types of data. Yet
many researchers continue to use OLS despite Bayesian claims that MCMC
could provide superior parameter estimation under such conditions. This
paper uses data from the State Politics and Policy Quarterly (SPPQ) and
Monte Carlo methods to test that assertion under conditions where
state-level data has a substantial number of missing cases. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
1 (97), 0 (54), data (52), estim (40), mcmc (40), ol (39), model (38), 2 (38), miss (36), state (34), sampl (32), paramet (31), bk (30), b (29), scheme (29), dnorm (26), x (26), observ (24), converg (22), 0.1 (19), 3 (18), |
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Association:
Name: The Midwest Political Science Association URL: http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Granberg-Rademacker, Scott. "IS BAYESIAN ANALYSIS SUPERIOR? ABENCHMARKED COMPARISON OF REGRESSION AND BAYESIAN ANALYSIS ONINCOMPLETE STATE-LEVEL DATA" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 15, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p83123_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Granberg-Rademacker, S. , 2004-04-15 "IS BAYESIAN ANALYSIS SUPERIOR? ABENCHMARKED COMPARISON OF REGRESSION AND BAYESIAN ANALYSIS ONINCOMPLETE STATE-LEVEL DATA" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p83123_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: The question addressed in this paper is whether or not
Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) Bayesian analysis does a superior job
of assessing probable parameters when compared to standard Ordinary
Least Squares (OLS) given state-level data with a significant amount of
missing data. Because a good deal of state-level data is collected by
states themselves, incomplete or missing data is a common problem, as
some states do a better job of reporting certain types of data. Yet
many researchers continue to use OLS despite Bayesian claims that MCMC
could provide superior parameter estimation under such conditions. This
paper uses data from the State Politics and Policy Quarterly (SPPQ) and
Monte Carlo methods to test that assertion under conditions where
state-level data has a substantial number of missing cases. |
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.PDF |
| Page count: |
16 |
| Word count: |
3840 |
| Text sample: |
| IS BAYESIAN ANALYSIS SUPERIOR? A BENCHMARKED COMPARISON OF REGRESSION AND BAYESIAN ANALYSIS ON INCOMPLETE STATE-LEVEL DATA Scott Granberg-Rademacker Ph.D. University of Southern Indiana Department of Philosophy and Political Science 8600 University Boulevard Evansville IN 47712-3596 sgranberg@usi.edu (812)464-1722 This paper prepared for the Midwest Political Science Association Conference in Chicago Illinois in April 2004. Abstract The research question this paper seeks to answer is: do Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) models produce more efficient and more consistent parameter estimates than |
| } alpha ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); tau ~ dgamma(0.1 0.1); beta1 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); beta2 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); beta3 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); beta4 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); beta5 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); beta6 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); beta7 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); beta8 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x2 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x3 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x4 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x5 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x6 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x7 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x8 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); mu.x9 ~ dnorm(0.0 0.0001); tau.x2 ~ dgamma(0.1 0.1); tau.x3 ~ |
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