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What's the Size? Does it have any power? Questions about Hypothesis Tests in Selection Models
power? Questions about hypothesis tests in selection models |
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Abstract:
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What are the properties of hypothesis tests in selection models? This question is typically unaddressed in the application of selection models for discrete choice data, but it has serious implications for inference in the analysis of censored data. In this paper we focus on a discussion of the widely used bivariate probit selection model. The properties of testing for selection effects are analyzed using a Monte Carlo experiment. The results indicate that the tests are highly sensitive to model specification assumptions about identification and exogeneity of the regressors and that tests for selection have very low power in
specific cases. The tests generally have incorrect size and very low power, even in what would be considered large samples. Two examples, using a new data set on EU entry decisions (Schneider 2003), and a replication of Reed (2000) are used to demonstrate the results. Finally we offer suggestions on robust methods for testing selection effects in discrete choice models, such as Bayesian methods and bootstraps. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
model (209), select (170), test (150), estim (115), sampl (108), equat (107), size (97), result (91), 1 (89), probit (80), 0 (77), power (76), censor (75), 0.0 (72), n (69), 2 (68), use (68), 0.5 (66), 0.4 (64), 1.0 (60), e (59), |
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Name: The Midwest Political Science Association URL: http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Brandt, Patrick. and Schneider, Christina. "What's the Size? Does it have any power? Questions about Hypothesis Tests in Selection Models
power? Questions about hypothesis tests in selection models" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 15, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p84254_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Brandt, P. T. and Schneider, C. J. , 2004-04-15 "What's the Size? Does it have any power? Questions about Hypothesis Tests in Selection Models
power? Questions about hypothesis tests in selection models" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p84254_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: What are the properties of hypothesis tests in selection models? This question is typically unaddressed in the application of selection models for discrete choice data, but it has serious implications for inference in the analysis of censored data. In this paper we focus on a discussion of the widely used bivariate probit selection model. The properties of testing for selection effects are analyzed using a Monte Carlo experiment. The results indicate that the tests are highly sensitive to model specification assumptions about identification and exogeneity of the regressors and that tests for selection have very low power in
specific cases. The tests generally have incorrect size and very low power, even in what would be considered large samples. Two examples, using a new data set on EU entry decisions (Schneider 2003), and a replication of Reed (2000) are used to demonstrate the results. Finally we offer suggestions on robust methods for testing selection effects in discrete choice models, such as Bayesian methods and bootstraps. |
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| Page count: |
42 |
| Word count: |
13091 |
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| What’s the Size? Does it have any Power? Questions about Hypothesis Tests in Selection Models∗ Patrick T. Brandt Department of Political Science University of North Texas E-mail: brandt@unt.edu Christina J.Schneider Department of Politics and Management University of Konstanz E-mail: christina.schneider@uni-konstanz.de April 8 2004 Abstract What are the properties of hypothesis tests in selection models? The answers to this question which is typically left unaddressed in the application of selection models for discrete choice data has serious implications for inferences |
| Selection Model.”. What’s the Size? Does it have any Power? 42 Reed William. 2000. “A Unified Statistical Model of Conflict Onset and Escalation.” American Journal of Political Science 44(1):84–93. Reiter Dan and Allan C. Stam. 1998. “Democracy War Initiation and Victory.” American Political Science Review 92:377–389. Sartori Anne. 2003. “An Estimator for Some Binary-Outcome Selection Models With- out Exclusion Restrictions.” Political Analysis 11(2):111–138. Schneider Christina. 2003. The Political Economy of Organizational Enlargement. Finding the link between Insider and Outsider. |
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