Author's Keywords: democratic peace, regime type, war, machine learning, logit	Convention All Academic Convention can solve the abstract management needs for any association's annual meeting. Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! Click here for more information.
Association: Name: International Studies Association URL: http://www.isanet.org
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p99199_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Goldsmith, Benjamin., Chalup, Stephan. and Quinlan, Michael. "Regime Type and Conflict: Broadening the Theory" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Town & Country Resort and Convention Center, San Diego, California, USA, Mar 22, 2006 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p99199_index.html>

Goldsmith, B. E., Chalup, S. and Quinlan, M. , 2006-03-22 "Regime Type and Conflict: Broadening the Theory" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Town & Country Resort and Convention Center, San Diego, California, USA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p99199_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: In this paper we take a new look at the relationship between regime type and deadly militarized conflict among pairs of states (dyads) in the international system. With the goal of describing the general functional form of the relationship, we evaluate three hypotheses: democratic peace, regime similarity, and regime rationality. We employ both standard logit methods and a recently developed machine learning technique, a support vector machine (SVM). Logit is dependent on assumptions which limit flexibility and make it difficult to discern the appropriate functional form. SVM estimation, on the other hand, is highly flexible and appears capable of discovering a general functional form that is contingent on the values of other variables in the model. SVM results indicate that regime similarity is important in most dyadic interactions. However, for the special but important case of the most dangerous dyads (including enduring rivalries), regime rationality plays a role and the democratic peace effect is dominant. The results suggest that models of international conflict excluding distinct indicators for both political similarity and joint democracy are mis-specified and likely suffer from omitted variable bias. The importance of accounting for interactions between regime type and other correlates of war is also evident. SVMs are an especially useful complement to more conventional statistical methods. In addition to their other virtues, our SVM models are at least equivalent to logit in out-of-sample predictive power.

The Impact of International Conflict on Democracy: Identifying the Reversed Causation of Democratic Peace

Internal Political Efficacy, Regime Type, and Democratic Legitimacy

Democratic Vs. Postrevolutionary Authoritarian Regimes: Organized Labor, Regime Formation and International Labor Politics in the United States and Mexico (1910-1940)