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"A Window of Opportunity"? Neoconservatives' Grand Strategy and Implications for U.S.-China Relations

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Abstract:

International relations are often believed to be saturated with various combinations of danger and opportunity. This, for many American neoconservatives, will be particularly manifested in the next decade or so, a period which presents a window of opportunity for the United States to cement, once and for all, its global strategic supremacy, before a rising China is able to mount challenge. Underlying this double sense of danger and opportunity is their perception of a rapidly developing threat from an undemocratic China. Unlike conventional realists, who see China as a long-term military threat susceptible to calculated containment, neoconservatives are convinced that the China menace is compounded by its authoritarian regime, an ultimate obstacle to their grand vision of a new American century. Consequently, in line with their sense of urgency, neoconservatives suggest an aggressive policy triad of confronting China by supporting democracy on Taiwan, strengthening alliances, and beefing up America's military power.

This paper argues that despite, and perhaps because of, the setbacks of the neoconservative experiment in Iraq, there is every possibility that their fixation on China will gather further momentum. And in light of its practical consequences in the Middle East, the paper argues that the neoconservative China strategy would have serious implications for U.S.-China relations. Based on the recipe of military strength and moral clarity, this neoconservative policy would launch U.S.-China relations onto a dangerous path to confrontation which neither side could afford. If anything, it would squander a rare window of opportunity for the two countries to cooperate for peace and stability in East Asia and beyond.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

china (221), u.s (116), polici (83), neocon (79), 2005 (61), 2006 (46), foreign (44), neoconserv (42), taiwan (41), 2004 (40), relat (37), militari (36), new (33), strategi (33), bush (33), state (32), america (32), war (31), secur (30), time (30), nation (30),

Author's Keywords:

Neoconservatism, US-China relations, US China policy, self-fulfilling prophecy
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Name: International Studies Association
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http://www.isanet.org


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MLA Citation:

Pan, Chengxin. ""A Window of Opportunity"? Neoconservatives' Grand Strategy and Implications for U.S.-China Relations" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Town & Country Resort and Convention Center, San Diego, California, USA, Mar 22, 2006 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p100026_index.html>

APA Citation:

Pan, C. , 2006-03-22 ""A Window of Opportunity"? Neoconservatives' Grand Strategy and Implications for U.S.-China Relations" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Town & Country Resort and Convention Center, San Diego, California, USA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p100026_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: International relations are often believed to be saturated with various combinations of danger and opportunity. This, for many American neoconservatives, will be particularly manifested in the next decade or so, a period which presents a window of opportunity for the United States to cement, once and for all, its global strategic supremacy, before a rising China is able to mount challenge. Underlying this double sense of danger and opportunity is their perception of a rapidly developing threat from an undemocratic China. Unlike conventional realists, who see China as a long-term military threat susceptible to calculated containment, neoconservatives are convinced that the China menace is compounded by its authoritarian regime, an ultimate obstacle to their grand vision of a new American century. Consequently, in line with their sense of urgency, neoconservatives suggest an aggressive policy triad of confronting China by supporting democracy on Taiwan, strengthening alliances, and beefing up America's military power.

This paper argues that despite, and perhaps because of, the setbacks of the neoconservative experiment in Iraq, there is every possibility that their fixation on China will gather further momentum. And in light of its practical consequences in the Middle East, the paper argues that the neoconservative China strategy would have serious implications for U.S.-China relations. Based on the recipe of military strength and moral clarity, this neoconservative policy would launch U.S.-China relations onto a dangerous path to confrontation which neither side could afford. If anything, it would squander a rare window of opportunity for the two countries to cooperate for peace and stability in East Asia and beyond.

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Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 26
Word count: 9486
Text sample:
“A Window of Opportunity”? Neoconservatives’ Grand Strategy and Implications for U.S.-China Relations Paper prepared for the 47th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association San Diego USA 22-25 March 2006 Chengxin Pan School of International and Political Studies Faculty of Arts Deakin University Geelong VIC 3217 Australia chengxin.pan@deakin.edu.au Draft Only Not for Citation “A Window of Opportunity”? Neoconservatives’ Grand Strategy and Implications for U.S.-China Relations Chengxin Pan The best way of avoiding war is not to dismiss its possibility
Bob (2002) Bush at War New York: Simon & Schuster. Wright Robin (2004) ‘Iraq occupation erodes Bush Doctrine’ Washington Post 28 June p. A01. Wu Xinbo (2005/06) ‘The end of the silver lining: A Chinese view of the U.S.-Japanese alliance’ Washington Quarterly 29(1) pp. 119-130. 24 Zoellick Robert (2005) ‘Whither China: from membership to responsibility?’ Remarks to National Committee on U.S.-China Relations 21 September . Zweig David and Bi Jianhai (2005) ‘China’s global hunt for energy’ Foreign Affairs 84


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