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Democracy Out of Conflict: Influences on Post-Civil War Democratization |
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Abstract:
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Research on civil war onset, duration, and outcome has revealed a number of factors that influence the dynamics of civil war. This paper explores how characteristics of a civil war affect the prospects for post-civil war democratization. In particular, we explore how the costs of civil war -- its destructiveness and its duration -- and the outcome -- whether it ends in a government victory, a rebel victory, or a negotiated settlement -- affect the prospects for the post-war regime evolving into a democratic polity. the theory we present is tested with data from Doyle and Sambanis (2000). |
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war (255), civil (194), 1 (102), year (99), democrat (94), end (88), politi (87), victori (86), chang (77), democraci (76), post (72), post-civil (59), 5 (58), like (57), settlement (57), level (56), govern (52), 10 (51), 2 (51), negoti (46), variabl (43), |
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Association:
Name: International Studies Association URL: http://www.isanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Mason, T. David. and Gurses, Mehmet. "Democracy Out of Conflict: Influences on Post-Civil War Democratization" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Town & Country Resort and Convention Center, San Diego, California, USA, Mar 22, 2006 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p100143_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Mason, T. and Gurses, M. , 2006-03-22 "Democracy Out of Conflict: Influences on Post-Civil War Democratization" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Town & Country Resort and Convention Center, San Diego, California, USA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p100143_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: Research on civil war onset, duration, and outcome has revealed a number of factors that influence the dynamics of civil war. This paper explores how characteristics of a civil war affect the prospects for post-civil war democratization. In particular, we explore how the costs of civil war -- its destructiveness and its duration -- and the outcome -- whether it ends in a government victory, a rebel victory, or a negotiated settlement -- affect the prospects for the post-war regime evolving into a democratic polity. the theory we present is tested with data from Doyle and Sambanis (2000). |
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application/pdf |
| Page count: |
34 |
| Word count: |
9329 |
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| March 12 2006 Democracy Out of Anarchy: How Do Features of A Civil War Influence the Likelihood of Post-Civil War Democracy? Mehmet Gurses Department of Political Science University of North Texas Box 305340 Denton TX 76203-2313 Phone: 940-565-2218 Fax: 940-565-4818 Email: mg0069@unt.edu T. David Mason Department of Political Science University of North Texas Box 305340 Denton TX 76203-2313 Phone: 940-565-2365 Fax: 940-565-4818 Email: masontd@unt.edu This study seeks to explore the effects of civil war on post-civil war democratization. We |
| 0.253 0.212 0.476 0.423 (logged) [0.401] [0.383] [0.499] [0.493] Constant -7.925 -4.135 -3.201 2.434 [7.763] [7.294] [9.905] [9.706] Observations 83 83 59 59 R-squared 0.19 0.19 0.29 0.30 Robust standard errors in brackets. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1% (two-tailed). -33- |
Similar Titles:
Post-Civil War Democratization: Promotion of Democracy in Post-Conflict States
Post-Civil War Democratization: Promotion of Democracy in a Post-Conflict States
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