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Political Regimes as Demographic Regimes: Unpacking the Democracy-Economic Growth Relationship

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Abstract:

The impact of political regime type on economic growth has attracted considerable scholarly attention over the years. The results of empirical studies into the matter have returned inconsistent findings and offered little in the way of mechanisms to account for any regime-growth effects. I examine the relationship between democracy and economic growth over the 1980 to 2003 period using cross-national quantitative methods on a sample of 64 developing countries. In particular, I explore fertility rates as the critical factor linking regimes and differential growth rates. I then posit and test, against alternative explanatory factors, family planning program effort as the institutional mechanism in the regime-fertility-growth relationship. My results show a significant positive effect of democracy on economic growth over the time period in question, with a significant mediating role for fertility. Analyses also support the hypothesis that family planning program effort functions as the primary mechanism in that relationship. I discuss the implications of my results for the literature and development policy.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

growth (95), democraci (80), fertil (69), famili (64), plan (56), econom (54), regim (53), model (50), effect (47), program (40), develop (38), relationship (33), variabl (29), rate (28), signific (28), countri (26), effort (26), polit (26), mechan (24), studi (23), result (21),

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democracy, economic growth, fertility, family planning, cross-national
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Name: American Sociological Association
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Roberts, Wade. "Political Regimes as Demographic Regimes: Unpacking the Democracy-Economic Growth Relationship" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Sociological Association, Montreal Convention Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Aug 11, 2006 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p102801_index.html>

APA Citation:

Roberts, W. T. , 2006-08-11 "Political Regimes as Demographic Regimes: Unpacking the Democracy-Economic Growth Relationship" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Sociological Association, Montreal Convention Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p102801_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: The impact of political regime type on economic growth has attracted considerable scholarly attention over the years. The results of empirical studies into the matter have returned inconsistent findings and offered little in the way of mechanisms to account for any regime-growth effects. I examine the relationship between democracy and economic growth over the 1980 to 2003 period using cross-national quantitative methods on a sample of 64 developing countries. In particular, I explore fertility rates as the critical factor linking regimes and differential growth rates. I then posit and test, against alternative explanatory factors, family planning program effort as the institutional mechanism in the regime-fertility-growth relationship. My results show a significant positive effect of democracy on economic growth over the time period in question, with a significant mediating role for fertility. Analyses also support the hypothesis that family planning program effort functions as the primary mechanism in that relationship. I discuss the implications of my results for the literature and development policy.

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Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 20
Word count: 5100
Text sample:
1 Political Regimes as Demographic Regimes: Unpacking the Democracy- Economic Growth Relationship Wade T. Roberts Department of Sociology The Colorado College 14 East Cache La Poudre Street Colorado Springs CO 80903 Phone: 719.227.8220 Email: wroberts@ColoradoCollege.edu ABSTRACT The impact of political regime type on economic growth has attracted considerable scholarly attention over the years. The results of empirical studies into the matter have returned inconsistent findings and offered little in the way of mechanisms to account for any regime-growth effects.
64 64 61 61 R-squared 0.44 0.63 0.45 0.62 0.79 0.71 0.86 Standard errors in parentheses * p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001 (two-tailed test) Table 3: Standardized Coefficients from Regressions of FPE in 1982 on Selected Independent Variables Variable Model 13 Intercept 26.565 GDP per capita 1980 (log) -3.071 (4.274) Sec. Schooling 1980 .690*** (.163) Democracy 1975-80 1.061** (.360) Cases 64 R-Square .40 Standard errors are in parentheses * p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001 (two-tailed test)


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