|
|
|
|
Explaining the Georgia Election of 2002: Why Barnes and Cleland Lost |
|
| Abstract | Word Stems | Keywords | Association | Citation | Get this Document | Similar Titles |
|
|
Abstract:
|
Across the United States during the 2002 general election, Republican
candidates won impressive victories over their Democratic rivals. In
Georgia, two Republican wins were particularly stunning, the defeat of
incumbent U.S. Senator Max Cleland to U.S. Rep. Saxby Chambliss, and the
defeat of incumbent Governor Roy Barnes at the hands of businessman, party
switcher, and former state legislator Sonny Perdue. Political pollsters
were particularly stunned by these victories, with most predicting a huge
win for Governor Barnes and a close contest between Cleland and Chambliss.
Both Republican candidates won by impressive margins.
This paper will examine factors that may have accounted for the first win
by a Republican for governor of Georgia since Reconstruction, as well as
the poor performance of pollsters in predicting election outcomes in
Georgia in 2002. Using data from the Fall 2002 Georgia Poll, we examine
the effect of attitudes toward the Georgia state flag, attitudes toward
affirmative action, party identification, the time period before the
election when the interview was conducted, and demographic factors as
factors in explaining the election result in Georgia for the Governor's
race and the U.S. Senate race, paying particular attention to
self-reported undecided voters. |
|
|
 | Convention | | Need a solution for abstract management? All Academic can help! Contact us today to find out how our system can help your annual meeting. |  | Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. |  | Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! |  | Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! |  | Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. |  | Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! |  | Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! | | Click here for more information. |
|
|
Association:
Name: American Association for Public Opinion Research
URL: http://www.aapor.org
|
Citation:
|
MLA Citation:
| Bason, James. and Mann, Linton. "Explaining the Georgia Election of 2002: Why Barnes and Cleland Lost" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Sheraton Music City, Nashville, TN, Aug 16, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p116191_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Bason, J. J. and Mann, L. , 2003-08-16 "Explaining the Georgia Election of 2002: Why Barnes and Cleland Lost" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Sheraton Music City, Nashville, TN <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p116191_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Across the United States during the 2002 general election, Republican
candidates won impressive victories over their Democratic rivals. In
Georgia, two Republican wins were particularly stunning, the defeat of
incumbent U.S. Senator Max Cleland to U.S. Rep. Saxby Chambliss, and the
defeat of incumbent Governor Roy Barnes at the hands of businessman, party
switcher, and former state legislator Sonny Perdue. Political pollsters
were particularly stunned by these victories, with most predicting a huge
win for Governor Barnes and a close contest between Cleland and Chambliss.
Both Republican candidates won by impressive margins.
This paper will examine factors that may have accounted for the first win
by a Republican for governor of Georgia since Reconstruction, as well as
the poor performance of pollsters in predicting election outcomes in
Georgia in 2002. Using data from the Fall 2002 Georgia Poll, we examine
the effect of attitudes toward the Georgia state flag, attitudes toward
affirmative action, party identification, the time period before the
election when the interview was conducted, and demographic factors as
factors in explaining the election result in Georgia for the Governor's
race and the U.S. Senate race, paying particular attention to
self-reported undecided voters. |
Get this Document:
Find this citation or document at one or all of these locations below. The links below may have the citation or the entire document for free or you may purchase access to the document. Clicking on these links will change the site you're on and empty your shopping cart.
Similar Titles:
Has the Implementation of the BCRA Made an Impact on the Effect of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections? Evidence from the 2002 and the 2004 Election
A Spiral of Silence in the 2002 German Federal Elections and the Role of Public Opinion Research in Opinion Formation in Election Campaigns
Explaining the far right resurgence in English local elections 2002-8: a spatial model of aggregate data
|
|
