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Measuring Voter Preferences for Divided Government: Evidence from US State and National Elections |
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Abstract:
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We compare ways of measuring preferences for divided government in US state and national elections. Fewer voters prefer divided government than most surveys reveal, but such preferences have a stronger effect on the vote than previously believed. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
govern (164), prefer (154), divid (142), question (110), elect (74), respons (72), survey (70), democrat (65), parti (65), voter (64), republican (61), split (51), congress (48), respond (47), condit (45), ticket (41), presid (41), percent (40), ed (39), rank (38), vote (37), |
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Association:
Name: The Midwest Political Science Association
URL: http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Lacy, Dean. "Measuring Voter Preferences for Divided Government: Evidence from US State and National Elections" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 20, 2006 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p141144_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Lacy, D. P. , 2006-04-20 "Measuring Voter Preferences for Divided Government: Evidence from US State and National Elections" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p141144_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: We compare ways of measuring preferences for divided government in US state and national elections. Fewer voters prefer divided government than most surveys reveal, but such preferences have a stronger effect on the vote than previously believed. |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
31 |
| Word count: |
7617 |
| Text sample: |
| Measuring Voter Preferences for Divided Government: Evidence from US State and National Elections Dean Lacy† and Philip Paolino†† † Department of Political Science Ohio State University 2140 Derby Hall 154 N. Oval Mall Columbus OH 43210-1373 phone: 614-292-9648 e-mail: dlacy+@osu.edu. †† Department of Political Science University of North Texas 125 Wooten Hall Denton TX 76203-5340 phone: 940-565-2315 e-mail: paolino@unt.edu. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association Chicago IL April 20-23 2006. Abstract Empirical tests |
| .76 .68 (.41) (.44) Information Level -.31 -.12 (.14) (.16) Prefer Divided Gov’t 2.89* 2.31* (1.19) (.46) Constant -1.10 -2.21 (.54) (.66) N 255 256 -2xLL 15.69* 33.57* Source: 2004 Knowledge Networks Panel Study. * indicates p <.05 two-tailed. 29 |
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