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Presidential Campaigning in Midterm U.S. House Elections: Measuring the Effect on Voter Turnout in 2002 and 2006 |
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Abstract:
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This paper explores the relationship between presidential campaigning on behalf of candidates for the United States House of Representatives in the 2002 and 2006 midterm elections and voter turnout in those congressional districts. Using voter turnout in the 2004 Presidential Election as a base, I proceed to measure the change in voter turnout between that election and the 2006 midterm election. I also measure the difference in voter turnout in the same districts in 2002 and 2006. A multivariate statistical model is used to explain differences in voter turnout between elections. The model provides some support for the hypothesis that presidential activity on behalf of candidates for the U.S. House affects the rate of voter turnout. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
elect (101), presid (88), campaign (83), turnout (78), midterm (66), race (57), voter (56), appear (49), district (48), presidenti (48), congression (44), 2006 (41), competit (40), hous (39), candid (38), senat (32), 2002 (31), u.s (27), behalf (27), state (27), vote (25), |
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Association:
Name: WESTERN POLITICAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATION
URL: http://www.csus.edu/ORG/WPSA/
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Mellen Jr., Rob. "Presidential Campaigning in Midterm U.S. House Elections: Measuring the Effect on Voter Turnout in 2002 and 2006" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the WESTERN POLITICAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATION, La Riviera Hotel, Las Vegas, Nevada, Mar 08, 2007 <Not Available>. 2009-05-24 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p176357_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Mellen Jr., R. , 2007-03-08 "Presidential Campaigning in Midterm U.S. House Elections: Measuring the Effect on Voter Turnout in 2002 and 2006" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the WESTERN POLITICAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATION, La Riviera Hotel, Las Vegas, Nevada Online <PDF>. 2009-05-24 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p176357_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between presidential campaigning on behalf of candidates for the United States House of Representatives in the 2002 and 2006 midterm elections and voter turnout in those congressional districts. Using voter turnout in the 2004 Presidential Election as a base, I proceed to measure the change in voter turnout between that election and the 2006 midterm election. I also measure the difference in voter turnout in the same districts in 2002 and 2006. A multivariate statistical model is used to explain differences in voter turnout between elections. The model provides some support for the hypothesis that presidential activity on behalf of candidates for the U.S. House affects the rate of voter turnout. |
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6294 |
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| Presidential Campaigning in Midterm U.S. House Elections: Measuring the Effect on Voter Turnout in 2002 and 2006 Rob Mellen Jr. Washington State University 710 Johnson Tower Pullman WA 99164 Paper Prepared for Presentation at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association Las Vegas NV March 8-10 2007 Abstract This paper explores the relationship between presidential campaigning on behalf of candidates for the United States House of Representatives in the 2002 and 2006 midterm elections and voter |
| The Forum 4(3): Article 4. Neustadt Richard E. (1990). Presidential Power and the Modern Presidents. New York: Free Press. ____________ (2004). Statistical Abstract of the United States. Washington DC. Sabato Larry J. 2006. “A Deep Blue Sea in the 2006 Midterms?” Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball at http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=ljs2006101201 (accessed 10/13/2006). Tufte Edward R. (1978). Political Control of the Economy. Princeton New Jersey: Princeton University Press. U.S. Census Bureau (http://factfinder.census.gov) Wooley John and Peters Gerhard. (2005). The American Presidency Project |
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