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Climate Change as a Long-term Policy Challenge: Three Commitment Problems |
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Abstract:
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Climate change is an extremely important and challenging long-term policy problem, which consists of two main challenges. The first is to determine ? under considerable uncertainty ? a plan for the optimal allocation of resources over time to mitigation of climate change, acknowledging that adaptation will to some extent be an alternative option. The second is to implement and stick to this optimal plan over time once it has been determined. This paper argues that the latter challenge might be divided in (at least) three analytically distinct, yet tightly interrelated commitment problems. First, even for an individual it might be tempting at any given point in time to devote fewer resources to mitigation of climate change than it considers optimal for the long term (the time consistency problem). Second, for a government it might be tempting to allocate a sub-optimal amount of resources on mitigation of climate change whenever this would increase its chances of re-election (the domestic politics problem). Finally, the logic of international negotiations makes it difficult to design and enforce an international agreement that corresponds with the optimal long-term plan (the anarchy problem). This paper discusses these commitment problems in some detail, considers how they relate to each other, and explores institutional designs to limit their significance. |
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climat (130), polici (118), problem (100), countri (99), chang (85), emiss (72), commit (63), term (56), would (55), intern (51), sprinz (51), enforc (51), hovi (50), regim (48), effect (47), time (47), three (46), polit (45), long (45), underd (44), measur (43), |
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Association:
Name: International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention URL: http://www.isanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Hovi, Jon., Sprinz, Detlef. and Underdal, Arild. "Climate Change as a Long-term Policy Challenge: Three Commitment Problems" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention, Hilton Chicago, CHICAGO, IL, USA, Feb 28, 2007 <Not Available>. 2009-05-24 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p179727_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Hovi, J. , Sprinz, D. F. and Underdal, A. , 2007-02-28 "Climate Change as a Long-term Policy Challenge: Three Commitment Problems" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention, Hilton Chicago, CHICAGO, IL, USA Online <APPLICATION/X-PDF>. 2009-05-24 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p179727_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: Climate change is an extremely important and challenging long-term policy problem, which consists of two main challenges. The first is to determine ? under considerable uncertainty ? a plan for the optimal allocation of resources over time to mitigation of climate change, acknowledging that adaptation will to some extent be an alternative option. The second is to implement and stick to this optimal plan over time once it has been determined. This paper argues that the latter challenge might be divided in (at least) three analytically distinct, yet tightly interrelated commitment problems. First, even for an individual it might be tempting at any given point in time to devote fewer resources to mitigation of climate change than it considers optimal for the long term (the time consistency problem). Second, for a government it might be tempting to allocate a sub-optimal amount of resources on mitigation of climate change whenever this would increase its chances of re-election (the domestic politics problem). Finally, the logic of international negotiations makes it difficult to design and enforce an international agreement that corresponds with the optimal long-term plan (the anarchy problem). This paper discusses these commitment problems in some detail, considers how they relate to each other, and explores institutional designs to limit their significance. |
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application/x-pdf |
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38 |
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13095 |
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| Climate Change as a Long-Term Policy Challenge: Three Commitment Problems by Jon Hovi† ‡ Detlef F. Sprinz* and Arild Underdal† † Department of Political Science The University of Oslo ‡ Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo (CICERO) *The University of Michigan Ann Arbor and Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) Paper prepared for the 48th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association 28 February – 03 March 2007 Hilton Chicago Chicago IL Version 1.1 24 February |
| S. Lohmann S. Ney S. Rayner and M. Thompson (2006). ”Clumsy Solutions for a Clumsy World: The Case of Climate Change”. Public Administration Review 84 (4): 817-843. Victor D. (2001). The Collapse of the Kyoto Protocol and the Struggle to Slow Down Global Warming. Princeton N.J.: Princeton University Press. WBGU (1997). Targets for Climate Protection 1997 - A Statement for the Third Conference of the Parties to the Framework Convention on Climate Change in Kyoto. Bremerhaven: WBGU. Hovi Sprinz |
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