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Tolerating Threat? The Negative Effect of Civil Conflict on Domestic Political Tolerance

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Abstract:

Previous studies of intrastate violence have focused primarily on identifying both the underlying and proximate causes of civil conflict leaving questions of subsequent social consequences largely unstudied. In particular, few studies have attempted to examine what influence, if any, these conflicts have on public opinion, especially attitudes relating to the tolerance of others. Although rising civil conflict is readily assumed to negatively impact domestic tolerance, such a proposition has never been systematically examined. This is unfortunate because theories of civil conflict converge well with unanswered questions in the political tolerance literature. Comparative studies reveal significant variation in political tolerance levels across countries with few explanations of the sources of these cross-national differences. In this paper, I contribute to both literatures by demonstrating a negative, independent impact of civil conflicts on political tolerance levels across 33 countries using data from the 1995-1997 World Values Survey. Applying several different statistical techniques (e.g., an instrumental variable approach and Hierarchical Linear Modeling), I find that internal threats to the state, specifically civil war, rebellion, and terrorism, dampen mass public’s willingness to extend basic civil liberties to nonconformist or unpopular groups. Thus, I not only identify a harmful long-term social consequence of civil conflict, but also a strong state-level source of domestic political intolerance.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

toler (212), polit (199), level (167), threat (155), conflict (136), civil (129), intern (124), individu (109), group (106), state (83), countri (82), model (78), war (75), variabl (73), use (66), 0.01 (65), studi (61), democrat (59), effect (57), 2003 (53), hutchison (52),

Author's Keywords:

civil conflict, political tolerance, multi-level modeling, world values survey, insurgency, public opinion
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Name: International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention
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MLA Citation:

Hutchison, Marc. "Tolerating Threat? The Negative Effect of Civil Conflict on Domestic Political Tolerance" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention, Hilton Chicago, CHICAGO, IL, USA, Feb 28, 2007 <Not Available>. 2009-05-24 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p180915_index.html>

APA Citation:

Hutchison, M. L. , 2007-02-28 "Tolerating Threat? The Negative Effect of Civil Conflict on Domestic Political Tolerance" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention, Hilton Chicago, CHICAGO, IL, USA Online <PDF>. 2009-05-24 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p180915_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: Previous studies of intrastate violence have focused primarily on identifying both the underlying and proximate causes of civil conflict leaving questions of subsequent social consequences largely unstudied. In particular, few studies have attempted to examine what influence, if any, these conflicts have on public opinion, especially attitudes relating to the tolerance of others. Although rising civil conflict is readily assumed to negatively impact domestic tolerance, such a proposition has never been systematically examined. This is unfortunate because theories of civil conflict converge well with unanswered questions in the political tolerance literature. Comparative studies reveal significant variation in political tolerance levels across countries with few explanations of the sources of these cross-national differences. In this paper, I contribute to both literatures by demonstrating a negative, independent impact of civil conflicts on political tolerance levels across 33 countries using data from the 1995-1997 World Values Survey. Applying several different statistical techniques (e.g., an instrumental variable approach and Hierarchical Linear Modeling), I find that internal threats to the state, specifically civil war, rebellion, and terrorism, dampen mass public’s willingness to extend basic civil liberties to nonconformist or unpopular groups. Thus, I not only identify a harmful long-term social consequence of civil conflict, but also a strong state-level source of domestic political intolerance.

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Associated Document Available International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention
Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: PDF
Page count: 47
Word count: 15700
Text sample:
Tolerating Threat? The Negative Effect of Civil Conflict on Domestic Political Tolerance* By Marc L. Hutchison University of Kentucky Department of Political Science 1601 Patterson Tower Lexington KY 40506 Email contact: marc.hutchison@uky.edu *Paper Prepared for Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association Chicago IL February 28 2007. This paper is a draft; please do not cite without permission of the author. Hutchison ABSTRACT Previous studies of intrastate violence have focused primarily on identifying both the underlying
(0.42) (0.51) Random Effect: Variance Component 1.97*** 1.88*** Df 26 26 2 Chi 109.53 107.4 Note: Entries are full maximum likelihood coefficients and standard errors estimated with HLM 6.02 The robust standard errors are listed under the coefficients in parentheses. *= significance at 0.05 level; **= significance at 0.01 level; ***= significance at 0.001 level Source: 1995-1997 World Values Survey 3a


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