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Reputation and Reliability: Upholding Commitments for the Future |
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Abstract:
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Why do states uphold their alliance commitments? Most research has focused on characteristics of the state (like regime type) or dyadic/alliance level factors (like changes in relative power between the members of the alliance). One understudied effect is the role of other alliances held by a state. When a state faces the decision to uphold an alliance commitment during a conflict, its decision is likely to have reprecussions with other states, who are not involved in the immediate conflict but have an alliance tie with the deciding state. These additional alliance ties are likely to create incentives to uphold an agreement that less encumbered states are likely to possess. States with additional alliances are likely to worry about the future costs for reneging on an alliance, especially the possibility of increased aggression against other allies. Thus, this paper hypothesizes that states are more likely to uphold their alliance commitments when they are members of other alliances with similar commitments. This argument is tested on a set of alliance commitment choices from 1816-1992, controlling for other factors and possible selection effects. Results are supportive of the effect of reputation on whether a state upholds its alliance commitment. |
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allianc (171), state (166), alli (127), commit (112), potenti (99), reput (91), interven (85), like (85), futur (77), uphold (74), may (68), war (67), variabl (53), number (51), decis (40), model (39), addit (38), influenc (34), adversari (33), partner (32), support (30), |
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Association:
Name: International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention URL: http://www.isanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Lai, Brian. and Cherry, Mathew. "Reputation and Reliability: Upholding Commitments for the Future" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention, Hilton Chicago, CHICAGO, IL, USA, Feb 28, 2007 <Not Available>. 2009-05-24 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p181032_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Lai, B. and Cherry, M. , 2007-02-28 "Reputation and Reliability: Upholding Commitments for the Future" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association 48th Annual Convention, Hilton Chicago, CHICAGO, IL, USA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-24 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p181032_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: Why do states uphold their alliance commitments? Most research has focused on characteristics of the state (like regime type) or dyadic/alliance level factors (like changes in relative power between the members of the alliance). One understudied effect is the role of other alliances held by a state. When a state faces the decision to uphold an alliance commitment during a conflict, its decision is likely to have reprecussions with other states, who are not involved in the immediate conflict but have an alliance tie with the deciding state. These additional alliance ties are likely to create incentives to uphold an agreement that less encumbered states are likely to possess. States with additional alliances are likely to worry about the future costs for reneging on an alliance, especially the possibility of increased aggression against other allies. Thus, this paper hypothesizes that states are more likely to uphold their alliance commitments when they are members of other alliances with similar commitments. This argument is tested on a set of alliance commitment choices from 1816-1992, controlling for other factors and possible selection effects. Results are supportive of the effect of reputation on whether a state upholds its alliance commitment. |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
28 |
| Word count: |
8115 |
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| Reputation and Reliability: Upholding Commitments for the Future Brian Lai and Matthew Cherry Department of Political Science University of Iowa Iowa City IA 52242 Paper prepared for Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association Chicago IL February 28-March 3 2007. The authors would like to thank Ashley Leeds for assistance with the data. Contact: brian-lai@uiowa.edu Abstract: When are states likely to uphold an alliance commitment during war time? Current research has focused on characteristics of the |
| since they were the cause of the invoking of the alliance. 2 Leeds (2004) codes whether a commitment was violated. Thus we simply reverse the coding of her dependent variable to produce one where 1 represents an honored commitment. 3 We also run another model where we swap out the democracy variable with a dichotomous variable that is 1 if a state is a non-democracy and 0 if it is a democracy. We interact this new variable with the |
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