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What Makes a President Quack? Understanding Lame Duck Status Through the Eyes of the Media and Politicians

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While both academic scholars and the media have used the term “lame duck” to describe a President, there is little consensus over its meaning or impact on presidential politics. This paper will explain when and why Presidents are referred to as “lame ducks” and discuss the implications of the term. Tracing the term to the 1880s, the analysis underscores that the term has taken on multiple meanings that have shifted over time. The press and politicians began to use the term in a negative light in 1946 during debates over whether Truman, or any second-term President, could legitimately hold office. Within this meaning, Presidents are seen as weak and lacking in what Paul C. Light terms “political capital.” No systematic analysis has been undertaken to verify how, or if, lame duck Presidents differ in the resources considered vital to them, such as public approval generally and amongst government elites and the media, or how that in turn affects agenda success, party support in Congress, decision-making processes, and electoral success for their party in Congress.
Using as a starting point Paul Light’s definition of “political capital,” the author uses content analysis to develop a typology of lame duck Presidents that analyzes the frequency of uses of the term by The New York Times and The Washington Post and identifies the issues or behaviors used to label the President as a lame duck. The analysis focuses on the three most recent Presidents to serve two terms, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and Ronald Reagan. The results of the analysis accent that media are much more prone to ascribe lame duck status to incumbent Presidents when they are suffering dwindling composite scores on political capital and when they are subject to scandals or congressional investigation. The analysis concludes that however damaging lame duck status may be to incumbent Presidents, it is not wholesale a bane on their policymaking ability. The author provides evidence that because such Presidents are freed from the shackles of worrying about reelection or approval ratings, they may use a focus on foreign policy or unilateral powers to engage in substantial policy change.

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Name: American Political Science Association
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Silber, Marissa. "What Makes a President Quack? Understanding Lame Duck Status Through the Eyes of the Media and Politicians" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL, Aug 30, 2007 <Not Available>. 2009-05-27 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p210893_index.html>

APA Citation:

Silber, M. , 2007-08-30 "What Makes a President Quack? Understanding Lame Duck Status Through the Eyes of the Media and Politicians" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-27 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p210893_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: While both academic scholars and the media have used the term “lame duck” to describe a President, there is little consensus over its meaning or impact on presidential politics. This paper will explain when and why Presidents are referred to as “lame ducks” and discuss the implications of the term. Tracing the term to the 1880s, the analysis underscores that the term has taken on multiple meanings that have shifted over time. The press and politicians began to use the term in a negative light in 1946 during debates over whether Truman, or any second-term President, could legitimately hold office. Within this meaning, Presidents are seen as weak and lacking in what Paul C. Light terms “political capital.” No systematic analysis has been undertaken to verify how, or if, lame duck Presidents differ in the resources considered vital to them, such as public approval generally and amongst government elites and the media, or how that in turn affects agenda success, party support in Congress, decision-making processes, and electoral success for their party in Congress.
Using as a starting point Paul Light’s definition of “political capital,” the author uses content analysis to develop a typology of lame duck Presidents that analyzes the frequency of uses of the term by The New York Times and The Washington Post and identifies the issues or behaviors used to label the President as a lame duck. The analysis focuses on the three most recent Presidents to serve two terms, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and Ronald Reagan. The results of the analysis accent that media are much more prone to ascribe lame duck status to incumbent Presidents when they are suffering dwindling composite scores on political capital and when they are subject to scandals or congressional investigation. The analysis concludes that however damaging lame duck status may be to incumbent Presidents, it is not wholesale a bane on their policymaking ability. The author provides evidence that because such Presidents are freed from the shackles of worrying about reelection or approval ratings, they may use a focus on foreign policy or unilateral powers to engage in substantial policy change.

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Associated Document Available American Political Science Association

Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 19
Word count: 8505
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WHAT MAKES A PRESIDENT QUACK? UNDERSTANDING LAME DUCK STATUS THROUGH THE EYES OF THE MEDIA AND POLITICIANS Marissa Silber Political Science PhD Student University of Florida Gainesville FL msilber@polisci.ufl.edu Prepared for delivery at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association August 30th-September 2nd 2007 ABSTRACT While both academic scholars and the media have used the term “lame duck” to describe a President there is little consensus over its meaning or impact on presidential politics. This paper
in Presidential Elections with a 1980 Case Study.” American Journal of Political Science 40(3): 825-850. Segal Jeffrey A and Albert D. Cover. 1989. “Ideological Values and the Votes of the U.S. Supreme Court Justices.” The American Political Science Review 83(2): 557-565. Shogan Colleen. 2006. “The Contemporary Presidency: The Sixth Year Curse.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 36(1): 89-101. Sundquist James. 1973. “Four More Years: Is Deadlock the Only Prospect?” Public Administrative Review 33: 279-284. Woolley John T. 2000. “Using Media-Based Data


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