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American Foreign Policy after the Bush Administration: Insights from the Public

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Abstract:

In this paper, I adopt the perspective of a structured and stable public view to analyze the possible linkage between public opinion and U.S. foreign policy, as we move to a post-Bush administration. The analysis proceeds in the following way. First, the paper begins by reviewing these competing theoretical perspectives, based upon recent studies of the public opinionforeign policy linkage, and assessing their relative utility today. Second, utilizing the second perspective, the research identifies several necessary and sufficient conditions required for the public to have an effect on foreign policy. The necessary conditions are the degree of structure and stability in the publics views, and the sufficient conditions are the leaders receptivity to the publics views on foreign policy and the degree of public access to the decision-making process. Third, using some recent polling data, I summarize the publics current general orientation to foreign policy and its position on key issues. Fourth, I assess the foreign policy positions of the likely 2008 Democratic and Republican nominees, their receptivity (and compatibility) with the publics view, and the likelihood that their decision styles will facilitate public input. Finally, the analysis concludes by identifying several structural and process factors that will arguably facilitate greater public impact on foreign policy, regardless of the candidate ultimately chosen as the next president.

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public (255), polici (220), foreign (165), issu (114), view (101), american (93), opinion (64), import (58), 2008 (56), iraq (36), terror (33), administr (31), immigr (30), would (30), general (30), democrat (28), impact (27), structur (27), time (26), access (26), year (26),
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Name: ISA's 49th ANNUAL CONVENTION, BRIDGING MULTIPLE DIVIDES
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McCormick, James. "American Foreign Policy after the Bush Administration: Insights from the Public" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the ISA's 49th ANNUAL CONVENTION, BRIDGING MULTIPLE DIVIDES, Hilton San Francisco, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, USA, Mar 26, 2008 <Not Available>. 2009-05-23 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p253216_index.html>

APA Citation:

McCormick, J. M. , 2008-03-26 "American Foreign Policy after the Bush Administration: Insights from the Public" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the ISA's 49th ANNUAL CONVENTION, BRIDGING MULTIPLE DIVIDES, Hilton San Francisco, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, USA Online <PDF>. 2009-05-23 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p253216_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: In this paper, I adopt the perspective of a structured and stable public view to analyze the possible linkage between public opinion and U.S. foreign policy, as we move to a post-Bush administration. The analysis proceeds in the following way. First, the paper begins by reviewing these competing theoretical perspectives, based upon recent studies of the public opinionforeign policy linkage, and assessing their relative utility today. Second, utilizing the second perspective, the research identifies several necessary and sufficient conditions required for the public to have an effect on foreign policy. The necessary conditions are the degree of structure and stability in the publics views, and the sufficient conditions are the leaders receptivity to the publics views on foreign policy and the degree of public access to the decision-making process. Third, using some recent polling data, I summarize the publics current general orientation to foreign policy and its position on key issues. Fourth, I assess the foreign policy positions of the likely 2008 Democratic and Republican nominees, their receptivity (and compatibility) with the publics view, and the likelihood that their decision styles will facilitate public input. Finally, the analysis concludes by identifying several structural and process factors that will arguably facilitate greater public impact on foreign policy, regardless of the candidate ultimately chosen as the next president.

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Document Type: PDF
Page count: 36
Word count: 9698
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1 American Foreign Policy after the Bush Administration: Insights from the Public* James M. McCormick Department of Political Science Iowa State University Ames IA 50014 Email: jmmcc@iastate.edu *Paper prepared for the 49th annual meeting of the International Studies Association San Francisco California March 26-29 2008. My thanks to Chris Untiet for his research assistance on this paper. 2 American Foreign Policy after the Bush Administration: Insights from the Public The role of the public in shaping American foreign policy
February 25 2005); Carroll Joseph January 19 2006 “Top Midterm Election Issues: Iraq Terrorism Healthcare Corruption ” Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/20977/Top-Midterm-Election-Issues-Iraq-Terrorism- Healthcare-Corruption.aspx#1 (accessed February 25 2008); Carroll Joseph and Frank Newport January 11 2007 “Iraq Terrorism Corruption Top List of the People's Priorities ” Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/26104/Iraq-Terrorism-Corruption-Top- List-Peoples-Priorities.aspx#1 (accessed February 25 2008); and Saad Lydia February 13 2008 “Iraq and the Economy Are Top Issues to Voters ” Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/104320/Iraq-Economy-Top-Issues-Voters.aspx (accessed February 25 2008).


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