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Public Opinion and Post-Cold War Foreign Policy: An Assessment of Elite Considerations |
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Abstract:
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Though the Almond-Lippmann consensus has been largely debunked, events of the post-Cold War era may pose serious challenges to the now commonplace acceptance of politicians’ attentiveness to the voice of the “rational public.” The past fifteen years have witnessed a shift from traditional military pursuits to less conventional operations; from direct interstate conflicts to more nebulous forms of third-party intervention, such as state-building. Intervention experts suggest that the difficulties associated with undertakings in developing world hot-spots - lengthy time commitments, unpredictable casualty rates, shifting objectives, and concern for the relevance of such efforts to U.S. vital interests - often result in high levels of popular discontent. Yet, decision makers continue to pursue such ends, sometimes in direct opposition to public opinion. Some contend that members of the foreign policy community are now increasingly likely to sacrifice public approval for the arguably necessary humanitarian and security obligations of the current international environment. As such, I pose the following questions for research: Do foreign policy elites ignore public opinion in the face of pressing strategic and ethical considerations? Is there evidence of an actual divergence between patterns of post-Cold War public opinion and foreign policy pursuits? If so, does this represent a need for a return to the logical underpinnings of the Almond-Lippmann consensus, or is it simply reflective of the public’s adjustment to an increasingly complex international environment? Employing a comparative case study analysis of post-Cold War intervention efforts, I assess the relationship between mass opinion and foreign policy. |
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Association:
Name: ISA's 49th ANNUAL CONVENTION, BRIDGING MULTIPLE DIVIDES URL: http://www.isanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Mezzell, Ann. "Public Opinion and Post-Cold War Foreign Policy: An Assessment of Elite Considerations" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the ISA's 49th ANNUAL CONVENTION, BRIDGING MULTIPLE DIVIDES, Hilton San Francisco, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, USA, Mar 26, 2008 <Not Available>. 2009-05-23 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p254331_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Mezzell, A. M. , 2008-03-26 "Public Opinion and Post-Cold War Foreign Policy: An Assessment of Elite Considerations" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the ISA's 49th ANNUAL CONVENTION, BRIDGING MULTIPLE DIVIDES, Hilton San Francisco, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, USA <Not Available>. 2009-05-23 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p254331_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: Though the Almond-Lippmann consensus has been largely debunked, events of the post-Cold War era may pose serious challenges to the now commonplace acceptance of politicians’ attentiveness to the voice of the “rational public.” The past fifteen years have witnessed a shift from traditional military pursuits to less conventional operations; from direct interstate conflicts to more nebulous forms of third-party intervention, such as state-building. Intervention experts suggest that the difficulties associated with undertakings in developing world hot-spots - lengthy time commitments, unpredictable casualty rates, shifting objectives, and concern for the relevance of such efforts to U.S. vital interests - often result in high levels of popular discontent. Yet, decision makers continue to pursue such ends, sometimes in direct opposition to public opinion. Some contend that members of the foreign policy community are now increasingly likely to sacrifice public approval for the arguably necessary humanitarian and security obligations of the current international environment. As such, I pose the following questions for research: Do foreign policy elites ignore public opinion in the face of pressing strategic and ethical considerations? Is there evidence of an actual divergence between patterns of post-Cold War public opinion and foreign policy pursuits? If so, does this represent a need for a return to the logical underpinnings of the Almond-Lippmann consensus, or is it simply reflective of the public’s adjustment to an increasingly complex international environment? Employing a comparative case study analysis of post-Cold War intervention efforts, I assess the relationship between mass opinion and foreign policy. |
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