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The Duration of Advertising Effects in the 2000 Presidential Campaign

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Abstract:

Recent studies of campaign advertising typically assess the response of voters to
advertisements only from the last few weeks before the voter is interviewed. In so doing,
they implicitly assume that the effects of advertisements decay over time. This paper
attempts an explicit estimate of the rate of this decay for the Annenberg survey of voters
in the 2000 election. Our results indicate that decay is fairly rapid. Even when the
persuasive effect of ads on candidate preference is large, 50 to 75 percent of the effect
dissipates within the first week and almost all is gone by the end of the second week.
Along with other recent evidence, this tentative finding undermines the view that
American voters are persuaded by information that accumulates during long campaigns
and suggests instead the importance of tactical maneuvers by candidates to dominate the
airwaves at the very end of campaigns.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

advertis (130), effect (129), ad (111), campaign (85), day (84), 1 (65), polit (62), inform (50), voter (49), persist (47), studi (43), decay (42), bush (41), estim (40), state (39), elect (37), 0 (36), communic (36), period (35), battleground (34), valu (33),
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Association:
Name: MPSA Annual National Conference
URL:
http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/


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URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p266375_index.html
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MLA Citation:

Hill, Seth., Lo, James., Vavreck, Lynn. and Zaller, John. "The Duration of Advertising Effects in the 2000 Presidential Campaign" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hotel, Hilton, Chicago, IL, Apr 03, 2008 <Not Available>. 2010-01-23 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p266375_index.html>

APA Citation:

Hill, S. J., Lo, J. , Vavreck, L. and Zaller, J. , 2008-04-03 "The Duration of Advertising Effects in the 2000 Presidential Campaign" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hotel, Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2010-01-23 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p266375_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: Recent studies of campaign advertising typically assess the response of voters to
advertisements only from the last few weeks before the voter is interviewed. In so doing,
they implicitly assume that the effects of advertisements decay over time. This paper
attempts an explicit estimate of the rate of this decay for the Annenberg survey of voters
in the 2000 election. Our results indicate that decay is fairly rapid. Even when the
persuasive effect of ads on candidate preference is large, 50 to 75 percent of the effect
dissipates within the first week and almost all is gone by the end of the second week.
Along with other recent evidence, this tentative finding undermines the view that
American voters are persuaded by information that accumulates during long campaigns
and suggests instead the importance of tactical maneuvers by candidates to dominate the
airwaves at the very end of campaigns.

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Associated Document Available All Academic Inc.
Associated Document Available MPSA Annual National Conference
Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 37
Word count: 9305
Text sample:
THE DURATION OF ADVERTISING EFFECTS IN THE 2000 PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN SETH J. HILL sjhill@ucla.edu JAMES LO jameslo@ucla.edu LYNN VAVRECK lvavreck@ucla.edu JOHN ZALLER zaller@ucla.edu University of California Los Angeles Version 3.2 ABSTRACT Recent studies of campaign advertising typically assess the response of voters to advertisements only from the last few weeks before the voter is interviewed. In so doing they implicitly assume that the effects of advertisements decay over time. This paper attempts an explicit estimate of the rate of
Christopher and Robert S. Erikson. 2002. “The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns.” Journal of Politics 64 (4): 969-93. Zaller John. 1992. The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion. New York: Cambridge University Press. Zaller John. 1996. “The Myth of Massive Media Impact Revisited.” In Political Persuasion and Attitude Change ed. Diana C. Mutz Paul M. Sniderman & Richard A. Brody. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. Zaller John. 2004. “The Floating Voter in Presidential Elections 1948-2000.” In Studies in


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