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Why do Single-Party Regimes Hold Elections? An Analysis of Candidate-Level Date in Vietnams 2007 National Assembly Contest

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Abstract:

We take advantage of a unique candidate-level dataset from the 2007 Vietnamese National Assembly elections to test the core hypotheses in the literature on elections in authoritarian systems. We find persuasive evidence that the elections are structured in such a way as to yield supermajorities for regime candidates and thereby project a credible image of strength to potential opposition. We also demonstrate that central transfers were critically important in ensuring local support for favored candidates and wealth was important for local government officials, indicating an unexpected high level of pocketbook voting by Vietnamese citizens. In contrast, we find little evidence for the hypotheses that regimes like Vietnam use elections to identify talented future leaders. The findings have critical implications for the premise, common in the literature, that parliamentary elections in authoritarian systems provide a credible check on executive power and thereby greater accountability of top leaders.

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candid (255), elect (174), regim (127), central (100), parti (88), nomin (84), vote (79), local (71), authoritarian (70), 0 (65), na (60), committe (59), district (59), 1 (56), vietnam (56), govern (56), percent (51), 2 (50), variabl (50), level (46), percentag (44),

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authoritarian regimes, Vietnam, National Assembly, Parliament, elections, institutions, supermajorities, Geddes
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MLA Citation:

Malesky, Edmund. and Schuler, Paul. "Why do Single-Party Regimes Hold Elections? An Analysis of Candidate-Level Date in Vietnams 2007 National Assembly Contest" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the APSA 2008 Annual Meeting, Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2008 <Not Available>. 2009-05-23 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p280321_index.html>

APA Citation:

Malesky, E. J. and Schuler, P. , 2008-08-28 "Why do Single-Party Regimes Hold Elections? An Analysis of Candidate-Level Date in Vietnams 2007 National Assembly Contest" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the APSA 2008 Annual Meeting, Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-05-23 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p280321_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: We take advantage of a unique candidate-level dataset from the 2007 Vietnamese National Assembly elections to test the core hypotheses in the literature on elections in authoritarian systems. We find persuasive evidence that the elections are structured in such a way as to yield supermajorities for regime candidates and thereby project a credible image of strength to potential opposition. We also demonstrate that central transfers were critically important in ensuring local support for favored candidates and wealth was important for local government officials, indicating an unexpected high level of pocketbook voting by Vietnamese citizens. In contrast, we find little evidence for the hypotheses that regimes like Vietnam use elections to identify talented future leaders. The findings have critical implications for the premise, common in the literature, that parliamentary elections in authoritarian systems provide a credible check on executive power and thereby greater accountability of top leaders.

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Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 60
Word count: 15154
Text sample:
Why do Single-Party Regimes Hold Elections? An Analysis of Candidate-Level Date in Vietnam’s 2007 National Assembly Contest Edmund Malesky Paul Schuler University of California-San Diego University of California-San Diego Graduate School of International Department of Political Science Relations and Pacific Studies pschuler@ucsd.edu emalesky@ucsd.edu Abstract: We take advantage of a unique candidate-level dataset from the 2007 Vietnamese National Assembly elections to test the core hypotheses in the literature on elections in authoritarian systems. We find persuasive evidence that the elections
63 63 52 52 63 63 R‐Squared 0.330 0.367 0.353 0.460 0.325 0.369 ll_0 ‐575.5 ‐575.5 ‐400.1 ‐400.1 ‐1288 ‐1288 dprobit implemented in STATA  Marginal Probabilities Displayed; Robust or clustered standard errors in parentheses Dependent variable is whether candidate was elected to Vietnamese Natiional Assembly or not *** p<0.01  ** p<0.05  * p<0.1 Dummy = Dichotmous Variable; LN = Natural Log 60


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