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Russia and the Middle East: Towards a New Cold War? |
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Abstract:
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This paper challenges the view that any diplomatic moves of Russia in the Middle East, particularly when supportive of revisionist anti-Western forces in the region, represent evidence of a return to the zero-sum competition of the Cold War. The paper argues that, though it is tempting to view Russian policies through a revived Cold War prism, this is a problematic and ultimately misguided approach. Such an approach ignores the significant sources of discontinuity and rupture between the Soviet Union and post-Soviet Russia, which have significantly transformed the underlying context for Russian engagement in the Middle East. The paper presents an alternative framework for understanding and conceptualizing Russia's engagement with the Middle East. This has three dimensions and takes an "inside-out" approach. First, there are the domestic drivers for Russian engagement which is linked to the perceived need to counter the threat of secessionism in the North Caucasus and the potential broader radicalization of Russia's Muslim population. Second, there are the more strictly economic interests in the Middle East, which include increasingly important trading relations with moderate pro-Western states in the region. And, third, there are the geopolitical considerations which certainly include potential competition with the West but also incorporate Russian ambitions to promote its credentials as a responsible great power supporting international norms, such as the principle of nonproliferation and a settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict. |
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russia (127), russian (105), polici (57), middl (51), muslim (47), east (45), relat (44), western (44), iran (42), econom (40), polit (37), us (35), support (34), state (33), 2008 (32), war (28), moscow (28), soviet (27), putin (26), 2007 (25), signific (25), |
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Name: ISA's 50th ANNUAL CONVENTION "EXPLORING THE PAST, ANTICIPATING THE FUTURE"
URL: http://www.isanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Dannreuther, Roland. "Russia and the Middle East: Towards a New Cold War?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the ISA's 50th ANNUAL CONVENTION "EXPLORING THE PAST, ANTICIPATING THE FUTURE", New York Marriott Marquis, NEW YORK CITY, NY, USA, Feb 15, 2009 <Not Available>. 2010-01-23 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p312509_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Dannreuther, R. J. , 2009-02-15 "Russia and the Middle East: Towards a New Cold War?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the ISA's 50th ANNUAL CONVENTION "EXPLORING THE PAST, ANTICIPATING THE FUTURE", New York Marriott Marquis, NEW YORK CITY, NY, USA Online <PDF>. 2010-01-23 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p312509_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: This paper challenges the view that any diplomatic moves of Russia in the Middle East, particularly when supportive of revisionist anti-Western forces in the region, represent evidence of a return to the zero-sum competition of the Cold War. The paper argues that, though it is tempting to view Russian policies through a revived Cold War prism, this is a problematic and ultimately misguided approach. Such an approach ignores the significant sources of discontinuity and rupture between the Soviet Union and post-Soviet Russia, which have significantly transformed the underlying context for Russian engagement in the Middle East. The paper presents an alternative framework for understanding and conceptualizing Russia's engagement with the Middle East. This has three dimensions and takes an "inside-out" approach. First, there are the domestic drivers for Russian engagement which is linked to the perceived need to counter the threat of secessionism in the North Caucasus and the potential broader radicalization of Russia's Muslim population. Second, there are the more strictly economic interests in the Middle East, which include increasingly important trading relations with moderate pro-Western states in the region. And, third, there are the geopolitical considerations which certainly include potential competition with the West but also incorporate Russian ambitions to promote its credentials as a responsible great power supporting international norms, such as the principle of nonproliferation and a settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict. |
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| Document Type: |
PDF |
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17 |
| Word count: |
8251 |
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| Russia and the Middle East: Towards a New Cold War? ISA Conference New York 15-18 February 2009 Dr Roland Dannreuther Professor of International Relations Politics and International Relations University of Edinburgh Edinburgh EH8 9LD Scotland UK Tel: +44 (0)131 650 4245 r.dannreuther@ed.ac.uk DRAFT Introduction There is a tendency to view any diplomatic move of Russia in the Middle East particularly when supportive of revisionist anti-Western forces in the region such as Iran Syria Hamas or Hizbullah as evidence of |
| transformation. It has been the local dissatisfaction with this US strategy which has probably provided the greatest contribution to the Russian resurgence drawing traditional pro-Western Middle Eastern countries as well as traditional allies closer to Moscow. With the Obama US administration seeking to define a new US strategy one challenge is to see whether Russia can be positively engaged building upon its broad if far from unconditional strategic interest in stability in the region so as to promote a |
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