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Association: Name: Midwest Political Science Association 67th Annual National Conference URL: http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p363889_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Carlson, Jon D.., Miramontes, Luis., Onsurez, Llonel., Chavez, Mayra. and Olivares, Abraham. "Political Party Realignment in Mexico: Fragmentation, Consolidation, and Party Identification" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association 67th Annual National Conference, The Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL, Apr 02, 2009 <Not Available>. 2009-11-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p363889_index.html>

Carlson, J. , Miramontes, L. , Onsurez, L. , Chavez, M. and Olivares, A. , 2009-04-02 "Political Party Realignment in Mexico: Fragmentation, Consolidation, and Party Identification" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association 67th Annual National Conference, The Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <PDF>. 2009-11-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p363889_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: This paper examines the ongoing political party system realignment in Mexico and the implications this holds for electoral outcomes. In particular, the 2009 Congressional elections are likely to be a predictor of the direction of change for the 2012 General Election, in which the President and Senate are up for election. So, we examine the evolution of the post-reform party system through 2006, apply modeling based on individual party identification, electoral outcome, and state-level office holding to predict the result of the Congressional elections. This is used to project party consolidation and fragmentation for the 2012 General Election. For example, a resurgent Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD) indicates the potential for a three-party system, yet the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) is riven by two ideologically distinct factions and faces the possibility of collapse. The National Action Party (PAN) struggles to capitalize on its holding of the Presidency, and five other parties seek to carve out electoral space in the evolving political environment. What does the 2009 election portend, and what will this hold with regard to the shape of the electorate in 2012?

Testing Theories of Radical Right Voting: Social Structure versus Political Agency and Electoral Support for the Attack Party in Bulgaria

Social Networks in the 2006 Mexican Elections: Why is Voting Behavior so Regionalized in Mexico? Political Discussion and Electoral Choice in 2006