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Vietnam Draft Lottery Status and Political Attitudes |
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Abstract:
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In 1969, draft numbers randomly assigned to birth dates became important in determining which young men would be called up to fight in Vietnam. We exploit this natural experiment to examine how vulnerability to the draft influenced opinions about the Vietnam War, party identification, political ideology, and attitudes toward salient political figures and issues of the day. Data analyzed come from the Jennings-Niemi Panel Study of Political Socialization, which surveyed high school seniors from the Class of 1965 both before and after the national draft lottery was instituted. We demonstrate that males holding low lottery numbers expressed more negative views of the war in Vietnam, more liberal policy views and ideological identifications, more negative evaluations of Republican and conservative elites, and voted much more strongly for McGovern than did those whose high draft numbers protected them from the draft. Drafter number effects typically exceed those found for pre-adult party identification and are not mediated by military service or the acquisition higher education. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
lotteri (189), number (151), p (110), draft (103), attitud (99), militari (95), colleg (87), vietnam (73), effect (72), n (70), polit (70), r2 (70), 1969 (62), bound (60), 1 (58), war (54), variabl (54), servic (52), 1965 (47), vote (43), 1973 (42), |
Author's Keywords:
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natural experiment, Vietnam, draft, public opinion, political attitudes |
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Association:
Name: Midwest Political Science Association 67th Annual National Conference URL: http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Erikson, Robert. and Stoker, Laura. "Vietnam Draft Lottery Status and Political Attitudes" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association 67th Annual National Conference, The Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL, Apr 02, 2009 <Not Available>. 2009-11-10 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p364505_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Erikson, R. S. and Stoker, L. , 2009-04-02 "Vietnam Draft Lottery Status and Political Attitudes" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association 67th Annual National Conference, The Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <PDF>. 2009-11-10 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p364505_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: In 1969, draft numbers randomly assigned to birth dates became important in determining which young men would be called up to fight in Vietnam. We exploit this natural experiment to examine how vulnerability to the draft influenced opinions about the Vietnam War, party identification, political ideology, and attitudes toward salient political figures and issues of the day. Data analyzed come from the Jennings-Niemi Panel Study of Political Socialization, which surveyed high school seniors from the Class of 1965 both before and after the national draft lottery was instituted. We demonstrate that males holding low lottery numbers expressed more negative views of the war in Vietnam, more liberal policy views and ideological identifications, more negative evaluations of Republican and conservative elites, and voted much more strongly for McGovern than did those whose high draft numbers protected them from the draft. Drafter number effects typically exceed those found for pre-adult party identification and are not mediated by military service or the acquisition higher education. |
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| Document Type: |
PDF |
| Page count: |
30 |
| Word count: |
10162 |
| Text sample: |
| Vietnam Draft Lottery Status and Political Attitudes Robert S. Erikson Columbia University RSE14@columbia.edu Laura Stoker University of California Berkeley stoker@socrates.berkeley.edu In 1969 draft numbers randomly assigned to birth dates became important in determining which young men would be called up to fight in Vietnam. We exploit this natural experiment to examine how vulnerability to the draft influenced opinions about the Vietnam War party identification political ideology and attitudes toward salient political figures and issues of the day. Data analyzed |
| of Equity: Who Serves When Not All Serve?” Report of the National Advisory Commission on Selective Service. Washington DC: U. S. Government Printing Office. Morris B. E. 2006. The Effects of the Draft on U.S. Presidential Approval Ratings During the Vietnam War 1954-1975. Ph.D. Dissertation. University of Alabama. Mueller J. 1973. War Presidents and Public Opinion. New York: John Wiley and Sons. Nichols A. & Shaffer M. E. 2007. “Clustered Standard Errors in Stata.” United Kingdom Stata Users’ Group |
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