The Midwest Political Science Association 2006

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Pages: 49 pages

Words: 14491 words

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1. Lindley, Dan. "Is War Rational? The Extent of Miscalculation and Misperception as Causes of War" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 20, 2006 Online <PDF>. 2009-11-23 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p139166_index.html>

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: Is war a rational pursuit? Pre-1900, war initiators won 73% of wars. Since 1945, the win rate is 33%. �Assuming that states initiate wars planning to win, war's utility is declining. Miscalculation and misperception now dominate decisions for war.