1. Weisberg, Herb."The 2004 Pre-Election and Exit Polls: A Total Survey Error Analysis" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 07, 2005 Online <.PDF>. 2009-11-28 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p85357_index.html>
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: The accuracy of the 2004 pre-election and exit polls are examined from a total survey error perspective. There was considerable speculation before the election that Republicans were being oversampled, partly because of the exclusion of people who only have cell phones from sampling frames. Weighting by partisanship seems to have accidentally overcompensated for that problem. By contrast, Republican voters were less likely to be interviewed in exit polls, partly because of interviewer-related effects. All in all, the problems with the exit polls were more serious than those for the pre-election polls in 2004.
