Showing 1 through 5 of 13 records. Pages: Previous - 1 2 3 - Next | 1. Rademacher, Eric. and Smith, Andrew. "Pre-Election Surveys: The Impact of Ballot Order on Pre-Election Projections.”" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Sheraton Music City, Nashville, TN, Aug 16, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-11-30 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p116303_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Researchers conducting pre-election surveys for the purpose of election projection often construct and administer multiple forms of ballot test questions. This practice is in response to codified directives in states such as Ohio where candidate name orders are rotated for each race that appears on a ballot, so that each candidate has the “opportunity” to appear first and last. Thus, in states like Ohio, rotating candidate order may be desirable in telephone surveys because such rotation simulates the operation of the Election Day ballot. In addition, formulating research designs sensitive to the potential for response order effects might improve pre-election measures of voter preferences.
The present study updates previous research conducted by the University of Cincinnati Institute for Policy Research and the University of New Hampshire Survey Research Center.
In 2002, both academic survey research centers conducted telephone surveys designed to measure vote preferences in multiple statewide races, including governor and United States Senator. Our analysis will examine the results of these surveys, which included multiple ballot order experiments. The experimental design allows for multiple analyses examining the impact ballot order has on reported vote preferences in several “types” of election contests, including 1) two candidate and multiple candidate contests, 2) higher salience “top of the ticket” election contests and “bottom of the ticket” contests, and 3) both partisan and non-partisan elections. |
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| | Pages: 20 pages | || | Words: 6296 words | || | |
| 2. Campbell, James. "An Open-Seat Presidential Election in an Era of Polarized Partisan Parity: A Pre-election Perspective on the 2008 Presidential Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the APSA 2008 Annual Meeting, Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2008 Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-11-30 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p279836_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: The paper examines six components of the 2008 presidential election and evaluates them for whether they favor the Democrats, the Republicans, or a close election. Partisanship, polarization, the nomination campaigns, and the open seat nature of the election favor a close election. Retrospective considerations favor the Democrats and prospective considerations may favor the Republicans. The context suggests another very close election and the polls, especially after adjusting for the competitive effect of the campaign and the partisan effect of the difference between registered and actual voters corroborates the analysis of the election's context. |
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| 3. Wrinkle, Robert., Rocha, Rene. and Longoria, Thomas. "Race, Ethnicity, and Electoral Change: The Pre-Election Color of Representation" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hotel, Hilton, Chicago, IL, <Not Available>. 2009-11-30 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p266836_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: An examination of the determinants of electoral structural change in American communities. |
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| 4. Mitofsky, Warren. "The Performance of Pre-election Polls in 2002" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Sheraton Music City, Nashville, TN, Aug 16, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-11-30 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p116153_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed |
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| 5. Barnes, William. "Lessons of Pre-Election Polling in Central America: The Myth of National Political Culture and the Fallacy of Electoralism" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, <Not Available>. 2009-11-30 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p140082_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: This paper takes off from a previous paper, "Landmarks and Lessons of Pre-Election Polling in Central America: The Myth of the ?Nicaragua Effect," originally presented at a WAPOR conference in Spain. The current paper, a version of which I will prepa |
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