Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: The turnout gap for UK general, European and local elections is the largest of any industrialized country. Precinct-level aggregate turnout data from the late 1970s onwards for the London borough of Brent are used to examine the extent of voter dropoff between parliamentary and other other types of election. A range of social and political characteristics are used to explore varying levels of voter participation. The paper finds that the gap between general and local election voting is affected by the nature of party competition at both the ward and constituency levels. However, analysis of the turnout gap between local and European elections highlights the problems of voter mobilisation in the UK for contests to the European Parliament.

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Voter mobilization efforts are credited with increasing turnout even when controlling for demographic characteristics. Attempts to validate these claims have largely consisted of survey data with potentially problematic methods of evaluating the effects of mobilization or ?real world? efforts with no direct measure of success.
In this post-hoc experiment, I evaluate the voter mobilization efforts conducted in Los Angeles County by the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials prior to the 2000 Presidential election. In particular I consider whether it is possible to demonstrate a link between ?real world? mobilization efforts and turnout and avoid the inherent problems associated with survey-research. I address three distinct questions. First, are nonpartisan voter mobilization efforts targeting Latinos effective in increasing voter turnout? Second, are the effects of GOTV efforts the same among all Latinos or are there distinct patterns of effectiveness given nativity and/or registration cohort? Finally, in conjunction with elite mobilization efforts, what forms of political context need to be considered when explaining levels of participation?

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: Learning from Double Regression and King's EI model, and looking towards contingency tables for a solution to reconstructing individual level voter behavior from precinct level data.

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: Using 2,013 district-level results from Chile (1989-2005), I estimate the ‘gender’ effect on the vote for women and men (men and women vote in different precincts). Controlling for everything else, do women candidates get more women votes?

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: Using a multilevel model, this study will asses the relationship between precinct composition and turnout particularly the interaction between neighborhood racial composition and congressional district demographics and the effect of each on turnout.