Showing 1 through 5 of 311 records. | | Pages: 44 pages | || | Words: 16843 words | || | |
| 2. Serra, Gilles. "Primary Divergence: the Effects of Primary Elections on Candidate Strategies in the Downsian Model" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 31, 2006 <Not Available>. 2009-11-27 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p150803_index.html>Publication Type: Proceeding
Abstract: The strategic interactions between candidates, parties and voters that take place during a primary election have not been properly disentangled in the formal political theory literature. This paper studies the effects of holding primary elections in a two-party system with a unidimensional policy space, i.e., the traditional Downsian framework.
We pay special attention to the strategies of candidates who try to balance their odds of winning the primary versus their odds of winning the general election, and we determine the different ideological cleavages they will display. The paper builds a benchmark model where both parties hold competitive primaries, and then studies three extensions of empirical relevance: a party with an incumbent candidate; a party with a dogmatic candidate; and a party with precandidates who collude to avoid a divisive primary campaign. The benchmark model confirms a long-held intuition that primaries result in a divergence of platforms between two parties; but the extensions provide surprising results that challenge the conventional wisdom about primaries. |
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| | Pages: 24 pages | || | Words: 10420 words | || | |
| 3. Porter, E Grant. "Prescient Primaries?: A spatial voting model of US Primaries with early commitment and uncertainty over future preferences." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hotel, Hilton, Chicago, IL, Apr 03, 2008 Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2009-11-27 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p265653_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: The acceleration and clustering of state primaries have resulted in an intra-party nomination campaign that has been remarkably successful at educating the public about the presidential candidates. With voters demanding unambiguous candidate choices, this front-loading of primaries has forced challengers to enter the nominating contest early and substantively differentiate themselves from their challengers long before the subsequent general election. In nominating their party’s general election candidate, strategic primary voters will vote according to their own preferences as well as the population’s preference distribution. However, given the temporal gap between the primary and general elections the expected distribution of the general election voters at the moment the candidates must commit to a policy is at best based upon a probabilistic expectation of the future distribution of voters at the time of the general election.
In this paper I formalize the American electoral cycle as a one-dimensional, two-step, sequential election model characterized by: (1) two simultaneously-held, closed, single-shot, partisan primaries that limit candidate access to the subsequent general election to two nominees (one from each party); and, (2) a passive single-shot lottery-like general election that follows an exogenous shock, which changes the voters preference distribution. I assume voters must commit to an unambiguous and fixed policy position in the primary stage.
The key theoretical insight concerns the temporal gap between the primary and general election and thus the effect of future uncertainty given the preselected unambiguous and inflexible candidate locations. This model rejects the pure strategy of full convergence and instead supports off-median equilibriums that are capable of being maintained over repeated electoral cycles. |
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| 4. Christenson, Dino. and Smidt, Corwin. "The Visible Primary: Dynamics in Presidential Primary Campaign Coverage" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the MPSA Annual National Conference, Palmer House Hotel, Hilton, Chicago, IL, <Not Available>. 2009-11-27 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p266405_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: We investigate the development and consequences of local and national news coverage of the 2008 presidential primary campaigns. Utilizing original data retrieved daily from news websites, we seek to evaluate the mechanisms of primary momentum. |
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| 5. Obiero, Judith. "Can free primary education achieve universal primary education? Evidence from Kenya" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the 53rd Annual Conference of the Comparative and International Education Society, Francis Marion Hotel, Charleston, South Carolina, Mar 22, 2009 <Not Available>. 2009-11-27 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p303164_index.html>Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: In an attempt to expand educational access to all and attain the Universal Primary Education (UPE) target , Kenya abolished primary school fees in 2003. While the adoption of Free Primary Education has expanded access, quality has declined and large numbers of children are still out of school. Focussing on the experience of Kenya, this paper questions the potential of the Free Primary Education Policy to achieve UPE in low resource contexts. The paper examines some key implementation challenges and then assesses the extent to which the policy addresess the unique needs of the socially excluded groups. The paper suggests some ways in which public policy can respond to the specific needs of the poor and facilitate their participatation in free primary education. |
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